For example: John Kasich. The Ohio governor was in the middle of the pack in the polls, but some early indicators suggested that he might do better than expected.
So we created this tool that we'll update regularly, showing how each candidate was expected to do (blue bars) versus how he or she actually did (yellow). If the blue bar is higher, the candidate is doing worse than expected. If the yellow bar is higher, he or she is doing better.
Let a thousand thinkpieces bloom!