This post has been updated.

Shortly after polls closed in Florida on Tuesday night, the Associated Press called the results: Donald Trump won the state's 99 delegates. A bit more slowly, the AP called Ohio for John Kasich -- giving him the state's 66 delegates. Those are big prizes. Trump's Florida win gives him 8 percent of the total he'd need for the nomination, and Kasich's Ohio win gives him 5 percent of the total he'd need.

And there, the similarities end.

Kasich has no chance of earning enough delegates to win the Republican nomination outright. Literally none. There aren't enough delegates left for him to make up the total. The delegate math -- as of right now, including Trump's win in Illinois but not all of delegates he will get for congressional districts he'll win -- proves it:


The gray bars are where the candidates would be if they won every delegate after Tuesday.

Needless to say, that's unlikely. If no more delegates came in for any candidate tonight, Trump would need to more than two-thirds of the delegates from tomorrow onward to be the uncontested nominee, and Ted Cruz would need to win 90 percent of them. But there are still votes to be counted tonight. As it stands, Trump needs about 57 percent of every remaining delegate -- including the ones we know he'll add in Illinois -- to be the nominee for the Republican Party.


Marco Rubio, who was basically done after losing Florida, wasn't yet officially done, even if he'd stayed in. He needed at least 282 delegates coming out of tonight to still have a mathematical shot at being the nominee. By the time North Carolina was called for Trump, Rubio was officially done. Rubio will officially not win the Republican nomination.

We'll update this post as the night progresses.