Electoral votes: 16

Georgia has been a solidly red state in presidential elections since 1984, with a blip in 1992 when Bill Clinton narrowly edged out George H.W. Bush. But Democrats have become more bullish about their chances, and the Post-SurveyMonkey poll released this week finds registered voters split evenly between Clinton and Trump at 46 percent. In the four-way contest, Trump gets 40 percent to Clinton’s 39, Johnson has 12 percent and Stein with 4 percent. Other recent polls in the state also show a close contest.

More than 6 in 10 voters in Georgia are white, while just more than 3 in 10 are African American. Trump leads by a wide margin among whites, 65 percent to 27 percent, a wider margin than in other states. Clinton leads with an even wider lead among blacks, 84 percent to 10 percent, similar to other states. Neither group is as united as in 2008, when exit polling showed Obama won 98 percent of black voters while McCain received 76 percent of the white vote.

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Clinton can stay competitive if she limits Trump’s margin among white college graduates, a higher-turnout group that makes up nearly one-fourth of the electorate. Trump leads by 15 points with this group in the new poll, far smaller than his 72-to-21 edge among whites without college degrees.

Georgia is a must-win state for Trump, but the need to defend the traditionally Republican state could drain his efforts in other battlegrounds.

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