Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.

Real Clear Politics' Latest Polls

Race: Romney vs. Obama, National

ABC News/Wash Post: Obama 48, Romney 49

Rasmussen Reports: Obama 48, Romney 48

Race: Romney vs. Obama, States

Ohio (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 50, Romney 47

Ohio (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 49

Colorado (Denver Post/SurveyUSA): Obama 47, Romney 45

New Hampshire (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 49

New Hampshire (New England College): Obama 50, Romney 44

Iowa (Gravis Marketing): Obama 49, Romney 45

Michigan (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 52, Romney 47

Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Romney 51, Obama 41

Nebraska (WeAskAmerica): Romney 54, Obama 41

Hawaii (Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG): Obama 61, Romney 34

Race: Senate

Indiana (Rasmussen Reports): Donnelly (D) 45, Mourdock (R) 42

Wisconsin (Rasmussen Reports): Baldwin (D) 48, Thompson (R) 48

Montana (Rasmussen Reports): Tester (D) 49, Rehberg (R) 48

Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Donnelly (D) 47, Mourdock (R) 36

Nebraska (WeAskAmerica): Fischer (R) 54, Kerrey (D) 41

Race: House

New Hampshire 1st District (New England College): Guinta (R) 48, Shea-Porter (D) 41

New Hampshire 2nd District (New England College): Kuster (D) 47, Bass (R) 41

Race: Governor

Montana (Mason-Dixon): Hill (R) 49, Bullock (D) 46

Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Pence (R) 47, Gregg (D) 40

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Drew Linzer's Latest Projection

Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206

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FiveThirtyEight's Latest Projection

Electoral Vote: Obama: 303.4; Romney: 234.6

Chance of winning: Obama: 80.9%; Romney: 19.1%

Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5%; Romney: 48.4%

Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 91.3%; Republicans: 8.7%

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Sam Wang's Latest Projection

Presidential: Obama: 319; Romney: 219

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Barack Obama — President Obama in Springfield, OH - Full Speech 11/2/2012

Barack Obama — The 100th Day of the Romney Administration

Barack Obama — Vice President Joe Biden Breaks Down the Romney-Ryan Plan for Seniors

Barack Obama — Guys For Women's Rights

Barack Obama — The Final Event: Where it All Began

Barack Obama — President Obama in Boulder, CO - Full Speech 11/1/2012

Barack Obama — President Obama in Green Bay, Wisconsin - Full Speech 11/1/2012

Mitt Romney — Real Change From Day One

Mitt Romney — More Than A Number