The Center for Budget Policies and Priorities had charted a Medicare spending forecast made in 2010 and another three years later. The difference between the two is $511 billion.
Because of that slowdown, "CBO made a series of downward technical adjustments to its projections of spending for Medicare and Medicaid."
The big question now is whether that arrested pace is the new normal or a temporary reflection of the recession. You can read more on that here, and also be sure to check out this great piece on the issue by Annie Lowrey of the New York Times.