Dina ElBoghdady and I wrote this morning about how Millennials, the largest and most diverse generation in U.S. history, are poised to impact the housing market — if, that is, they'd all finally move out of their parents' homes.
As with many other trends — their driving preferences, their job prospects, even their politics — we're waiting to see what happens next with this generation as it ages. But here are some clues:
The share of young adults living with their parents is still unusually high right now.
If young adults were living at home in 2013 at the same rates as in 2007, there would be 2.1 million fewer adults in their 20s, and 300,000 in their 30s living with their parents. Put another way: 2.1 million twenty-somethings would have been part of their own households last year if the economy weren't so bad.
Historically, the share of adults living at home plummets sharply after age 24, as that chart shows. This is why we're expecting a windfall of Millennials to soon move out. Already, we're seeing the first stages of that trend, via Trulia:
Once they move out, this cohort is less likely to own a home than in the past.
Homeownership rates for young adults have fallen as median incomes have:
