Yet there are good reasons to believe that the proposed order is more than electoral theater. The very extremity of the still-hypothetical order might serve to shift the terms of political engagement. Even if Trump fails in this attempt, simply trying could make it that much easier for the administration to impose future immigration restrictions.
This approach could play out in three interrelated ways. First, the arc of the American presidency bends toward enlarged powers. Second, even if unilateral executive reinterpretation of the Constitution is a bridge too far for Republican officeholders, Trump’s order could reshape the policy agenda on immigration. Finally, the act of putting birthright citizenship up for debate constitutes an assault on the dignity of millions American citizens with at least one unauthorized immigrant parent, putting them at still greater risk of losing basic civil rights.
The scope of the presidency has developed through successive challenges to existing constitutional structures. Since the 1940s, presidential lawyers have invoked claims of crisis and emergency to support the expansion of executive-branch authority, especially during times of emergency. These developments influenced the Supreme Court’s legitimization of Japanese internment during World War II and clampdowns on civil liberties during the Cold War.
Presidents do not always win fights to extend their power. The Supreme Court has held that the use of presidential authority “must stem either from an act of Congress or from the Constitution itself.” But as political scientists Karen Orren and Stephen Skowronek put it, the contemporary presidency “has leveraged political mobilization against the security of established rights.” In plain English, that means that if presidents can stimulate sufficient political support they can often overturn legal barriers. Earlier chief executives like George W. Bush have used constitutional ambiguities to carry out policies like torture that had previously been deemed illegal, as presidency scholar James P. Pfiffner argues.
Sometimes, this expansion of presidential powers relies on a process of trial and error. For instance, the Trump administration learned from losses in federal courts as it worked to secure judicial approval for its entry ban. It cost the president politically when courts overturned earlier versions of the ban. Yet those reversals also taught the administration’s lawyers how to reassemble statutory and constitutional authority in a way that ultimately satisfied conservative jurists.
Of course, as Vox’s Dara Lind insightfully points out, birthright citizenship is less ambiguous than other legal issues. After all, there’s a bright line drawn in the 14th Amendment itself and Supreme Court precedent stretching back to the 1898 case of U.S. v. Wong Kim Ark. Yet even if one believes a 5-4 majority would never uphold Trump’s proposed executive order — and it might not — a failure could still help the administration’s lawyers (and others) craft a more legally acceptable, but still extreme, immigration policy.
Beyond the courts, Trump can affect public opinion and governance in other ways. Executive orders — like presidential rhetoric — can reset the policy agenda. In that regard, it’s important to note that Trump’s embrace of this cause is neither unusual nor novel. Some Republicans and conservatives have been critical of birthright citizenship for years, even floating the idea that an executive order could trigger a reinterpretation of the 14th Amendment. When he was a presidential candidate, Trump himself said that people born in the United States to undocumented immigrants were not really citizens.
The real goal, though, may be to shift the conversation. Issuing an executive order that attempts to eliminate birthright citizenship would move the right edge of the immigration debate off the map. When something so patently unconstitutional seems even vaguely feasible, other highly restrictive immigration proposals from the 115th Congress would start to seem like calls for open borders. This could shift the political space in which immigration policy is debated. Republican Sen. Charles E. Grassley of Iowa has already suggested that an act of Congress might be able to do what an executive order can’t.
Even if the administration fails in that effort, simply having the president raise the possibility that there are different classes of citizenship can send a harmful signal. Other executive branch officials, as well as Border Patrol and immigration enforcement agents, will receive a worrisome message about how to treat vulnerable populations. In this, the president’s pardon of Sheriff Joe Arpaio for contempt of court related to his aggressive tactics against undocumented immigrants takes on a more sinister light. With such actions, Trump suggests that other public officials, too, can test the limits of the law.
It would be absurd to argue that Trump’s proposal to end birthright citizenship is legal. Lawyers and academics are also right to exercise caution when projecting the potential implications of Trump’s actions. Yet to dismiss this action as a mere stunt is to dangerously understate its consequences. It is also to assume that the constraints on executive action are self-executing. By contrast, more than 200 years of history would suggest that there is a fearful level of flexibility in the presidency.