Latest from Patrick J. Egan

Trump’s budget fattens ‘Republican’ programs (and starves ‘Democratic’ ones)

Since the 1970s, Republicans have “owned” issues such as the military and domestic security, while Democrats own the environment, education and social welfare.
  • Mar 22, 2017

Are Trump’s low approval ratings ‘fake news’? I looked at the evidence.

I couldn't find those “shy Trump supporters” who are afraid to say they're for him.
  • Feb 10, 2017

Scott Pruitt wants to switch direction for federal environmental policy. That may be hard to do.

Environmental policies are pretty well-entrenched. Good luck turning them around.
  • Jan 18, 2017

Trump has picked the most conservative EPA leader since 1981. This one will face much less resistance.

Political polarization makes Scott Pruitt's road much easier.
  • Dec 13, 2016

No, Congressional Republicans haven’t become more polarized.

Not statistically speaking, at least.
  • Oct 30, 2015

Polls show a Biden presidential run would hurt Clinton, not Sanders

Biden could appeal to current Clinton supporters who like her views but feel uncomfortable with her weaknesses as a candidate.
  • Sep 6, 2015

This chart explains how Trump’s stand on immigration is hurting the Republican Party

The problem isn't just with Asian Americans and Latinos. Most other Americans disagree, too. 
  • Aug 24, 2015

Only one poll number right now tells us anything meaningful about the 2016 election

President Obama’s approval rating is the only meaningful predictor of which party will ultimately win next year’s presidential election.
  • Jul 10, 2015

Will marriage turn gay people into Republicans? Not anytime soon.

Even if gay rights disappears off the national agenda, gay people hold attitudes on a range of other issues giving them every reason to vote like liberal Democrats.
  • Jun 29, 2015

Why the GOP loses if the Obamacare lawsuit wins

Millions of red-state Americans would pay more for their health insurance, while many blue-state residents would remain completely untouched.
  • Jun 1, 2015