Thirty-eight non-incumbent candidates have said they will not or probably will not vote for Pelosi to lead House Democrats in 2019. Fourteen of those candidates are running in districts rated “Toss Up” (meaning they could go to either party) or safer for Democrats by the Cook Political Report.
In total, at least 87 of the 260 non-incumbent Democrats running this year have refused to endorse Pelosi or have sidestepped questions about her, according to a Fix analysis. Nearly a dozen incumbents have also expressed opposition to Pelosi.
Of the 87 who haven’t backed Pelosi, 41 percent are running in districts rated “Toss Up” or better by Cook. Democrats will likely need at least some of the 87 candidates opposing Pelosi to support her in a potential speaker election.
Democrats need to net 23 seats to regain control of the House, and while only a handful of Democrats voted against Pelosi on the floor in 2017, nearly one-third of the Democratic caucus voted against her behind closed doors in late 2016.
But of the one-third of non-incumbent Democrats demurring on Pelosi in 2018, it is unclear how many will actually vote against her on the floor, especially when a “no” vote could send a speaker’s candidacy to a second ballot for the first time since 1923, striking a blow to Democrats’ political capital just as they prepare to potentially open a number of investigations into the Trump administration.
As The Washington Post’s David Weigel reported this year, Democrats are in a bit of a Catch-22 when it comes to Pelosi: Announce your support for Pelosi, and Republicans will tie your candidacy to her. Announce your opposition to Pelosi, and Republicans will look for any break to again tie your candidacy to her.
Pelosi spokesman Drew Hammill took issue with the Fix’s analysis of the candidates' on-the-record statements on Pelosi, all of which you can read via the links in the graphic below. "This misleading analysis makes it look as though candidates who haven’t taken a position are opposing Pelosi’s leadership. Leader Pelosi hasn’t asked a single candidate for their support and won’t do so until after the elections,” Hammill said.
Indeed, dozens of Democrats who have refused to say they will vote for Pelosi have accepted support from her or from the party, including making campaign appearances with her.
Two days after Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez upset Rep. Joseph Crowley (D-N.Y.) this summer, Pelosi was asked how Democrats should handle candidates who buck party leadership on the campaign trail.
“We just want to win,” Pelosi said. “When I’m not in the Capitol and I’m someplace else, I’m raising money to elect those very people. Everything is at stake in our country. … So I just say, ‘Just win, baby.’”
This post has been updated.
At least 87 Democratic House candidates who are not incumbents have refused to endorse or have sidestepped questions about support for Nancy Pelosi. The Fix will update this list as needed. Click on the names below to see what candidates have said about Pelosi. | ||
Name | District | Cook rating |
---|---|---|
Jahana Hayes | Connecticut 5th | |
Ayanna Pressley | Massachusetts 7th | |
Rashida Tlaib | Michigan 13th | |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | New York 14th | |
Chris Pappas | New Hampshire 1st | |
Jeff Van Drew | New Jersey 2nd | |
Mary Gay Scanlon | Pennsylvania 5th | |
Chrissy Houlahan | Pennsylvania 6th | |
Jason Crow | Colorado 6th | |
Donna Shalala | Florida 27th | |
Sean Casten | Illinois 6th | |
Abby Finkenauer | Iowa 1st | |
Haley Stevens | Michigan 11th | |
Susie Lee | Nevada 3rd | |
Steven Horsford | Nevada 4th | |
Mikie Sherrill | New Jersey 11th | |
Susan Wild | Pennsylvania 7th | |
Jennifer Wexton | Virginia 10th | |
Katie Hill | California 25th | |
Gil Cisneros | California 39th | |
Katie Porter | California 45th | |
Harley Rouda | California 48th | |
Lauren Underwood | Illinois 14th | |
Cindy Axne | Iowa 3rd | |
Paul Davis | Kansas 2nd | |
Amy McGrath | Kentucky 6th | |
Jared Golden | Maine 2nd | |
Elissa Slotkin | Michigan 8th | |
Andy Kim | New Jersey 3rd | |
Antonio Delgado | New York 19th | |
Dan McCready | North Carolina 9th | |
Kathy Manning | North Carolina 13th | |
Danny O'Connor | Ohio 12th | |
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher | Texas 7th | |
Colin Allred | Texas 32nd | |
Ben McAdams | Utah 4th | |
Abigail Spanberger | Virginia 7th | |
Ammar Campa-Najjar | California 50th | |
Nancy Soderberg | Florida 6th | |
Lucy McBath | Georgia 6th | |
Carolyn Bourdeaux | Georgia 7th | |
Brendan Kelly | Illinois 12th | |
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan | Illinois 13th | |
J.D. Scholten | Iowa 4th | |
Kathleen Williams | Montana At-large | |
Kara Eastman | Nebraska 2nd | |
Max Rose | New York 11th | |
Dana Balter | New York 24th | |
Nate McMurray | New York 27th | |
Aftab Pureval | Ohio 1st | |
George Scott | Pennsylvania 10th | |
Ron DiNicola | Pennsylvania 16th | |
Joe Cunningham | South Carolina 1st | |
Gina Ortiz Jones | Texas 23rd | |
Carolyn Long | Washington 3rd | |
Lisa Brown | Washington 5th | |
Richard Ojeda | West Virginia 3rd | |
Randy Bryce | Wisconsin 1st | |
Hiral Tipirneni | Arizona 8th | |
Clarke Tucker | Arkansas 2nd | |
Jessica Morse | California 4th | |
T.J. Cox | California 21st | |
Andrew Janz | California 22nd | |
Diane Mitsch Bush | Colorado 3rd | |
Mary Barzee Flores | Florida 25th | |
Mel Hall | Indiana 2nd | |
Perry Gershon | New York 1st | |
Tedra Cobb | New York 21st | |
Tracy Mitrano | New York 23rd | |
Theresa Gasper | Ohio 10th | |
Betsy Rader | Ohio 14th | |
Joseph Kopser | Texas 21st | |
MJ Hegar | Texas 31st | |
Dan Kohl | Wisconsin 6th | |
Liz Watson | Indiana 9th | |
James Thompson | Kansas 4th | |
Joshua Welle | New Jersey 4th | |
Mac Schneider | North Dakota At-large | |
Jill Schiller | Ohio 2nd | |
Janet Garrett | Ohio 4th | |
Ken Harbaugh | Ohio 7th | |
Jess King | Pennsylvania 11th | |
Tim Bjorkman | South Dakota At-large | |
Danielle Mitchell | Tennessee 3rd | |
Justin Kanew | Tennessee 7th | |
Adrienne Bell | Texas 14th | |
Jennifer Lewis | Virginia 6th |