This post has been updated.

As House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi works to shore up support for her speaker bid, it is unclear whether she has the votes to become speaker during a final floor vote in January, according to a Fix analysis.

Of the 57 non-incumbent Democrats elected last week, 11 have continued to say they will not vote for Pelosi and 18 have dodged questions (sometimes repeatedly) about her. Twenty eight non-incumbents have said they will vote for the California Democrat for speaker.

If the current leads hold in the three outstanding House races not yet called by the Associated Press, Democrats will control 235 seats next year, meaning Pelosi can only afford to lose 17 Democratic votes on the floor, assuming every Republican votes against her and no members vote present.

While it is unclear which, if any, members will vote against Pelosi on the House floor, the 11 non-incumbent and 11 incumbent Democrats opposed to her would be enough to prevent her from reaching the needed 218 votes. In 2016, 63 Democrats voted against Pelosi in a caucus vote but only four voted against her on the floor less than two months later.

No House Democrat has mounted a challenge to Pelosi for the speaker’s gavel and many Democrats have rallied around her in recent days.

“I’ve said it many times: She’s a phenomenal speaker,” Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.) said on ABC’s “This Week” on Nov. 11. “And now that we have all of these women coming into the Congress, it would be a damn shame that you then replaced this fearless leader with a man.”

“I’ll ask everybody to take a look at the so-called Freedom Caucus and see where they got the Republican Party,” Assistant Democratic Leader James E. Clyburn (S.C.) said on Nov. 13. “I think they’re the ones that got them into the shape they’re in now.”

“I’m not sure why it’s even a question,” Rep. Denny Heck (D-Wash.) said Nov. 13 on CNN. “I think it’s a moot point, there’s nobody running against her. Nancy Pelosi has a significant majority of the members of the House Democratic caucus, period.”

Additionally, no fewer than five incoming House Democrats now say they will support Pelosi after previously dodging questions about her, and at least two are now dodging questions about the California Democrat after previously saying they would not vote for her. Three incoming, previous-serving Democrats who have not said how they will vote each supported Pelosi in previous leadership elections.

Just two days after Democrats regained control of the House, Pelosi was asked how confident she was that she would be speaker.

“Total,” Pelosi said. “100 percent.”

At least 11 incoming House Democrats plan to vote against Nancy Pelosi for speaker. Click on the names below to see what each representative-elect has said about Pelosi.

Will vote for Pelosi:

  1. Ann Kirkpatrick (Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District)
  2. Katie Hill (California’s 25th Congressional District)
  3. Katie Porter (California’s 45th Congressional District)
  4. Harley Rouda (California’s 48th Congressional District)
  5. Mike Levin (California’s 49th Congressional District)
  6. Joe Neguse (Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District)
  7. Jahana Hayes (Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District)
  8. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (Florida’s 26th Congressional District)
  9. Donna Shalala (Florida’s 27th Congressional District)
  10. Jesus “Chuy” Garcia (Illinois’s 4th Congressional District)
  11. Sean Casten (Illinois’s 6th Congressional District)
  12. Lauren Underwood (Illinois’s 14th Congressional District)
  13. Sharice Davids (Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District)
  14. David Trone (Maryland’s 6th Congressional District)
  15. Lori Trahan (Massachusetts’s 3rd Congressional District)
  16. Ayanna Pressley (Massachusetts’s 7th Congressional District)
  17. Andy Levin (Michigan’s 9th Congressional District)
  18. Ilhan Omar (Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District)
  19. Chris Pappas (New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District)
  20. Tom Malinowski (New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District)
  21. Debra Haaland (New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District)
  22. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York’s 14th Congressional District)
  23. Antonio Delgado (New York’s 19th Congressional District)
  24. Madeleine Dean (Pennsylvania’s 4th Congressional District)
  25. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (Texas’s 7th Congressional District)
  26. Veronica Escobar (Texas’s 16th Congressional District)
  27. Sylvia Garcia (Texas’s 29th Congressional District)
  28. Jennifer Wexton (Virginia’s 10th Congressional District)

Will not vote for Pelosi:

  1. Gil Cisneros (California’s 39th Congressional District)
  2. Jason Crow (Colorado’s 6th Congressional District)
  3. Jared Golden (Maine’s 2nd Congressional District)
  4. Elissa Slotkin (Michigan’s 8th Congressional District)
  5. Haley Stevens (Michigan’s 11th Congressional District)
  6. Jeff Van Drew (New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District)
  7. Mikie Sherrill (New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District)
  8. Max Rose (New York’s 11th Congressional District)
  9. Joe Cunningham (South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District)
  10. Ben McAdams (Utah’s 2nd Congressional District)
  11. Abigail Spanberger (Virginia’s 7th Congressional District)

Dodged questions about Pelosi:

  1. Greg Stanton (Arizona’s 9th Congressional District)
  2. Josh Harder (California’s 10th Congressional District)
  3. Lucy McBath (Georgia’s 6th Congressional District)
  4. Ed Case (Hawaii’s 1st Congressional District)
  5. Abby Finkenauer (Iowa’s 1st Congressional District)
  6. Cindy Axne (Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District)
  7. Rashida Tlaib (Michigan’s 13th Congressional District)
  8. Angie Craig (Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District)
  9. Dean Phillips (Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District)
  10. Susie Lee (Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District)
  11. Steven Horsford (Nevada’s 4th Congressional District)
  12. Andy Kim (New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District)
  13. Xochitl Torres Small (New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District)
  14. Kendra Horn (Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District)
  15. Chrissy Houlahan (Pennsylvania’s 6th Congressional District)
  16. Colin Allred (Texas’s 32nd Congressional District)
  17. Elaine Luria (Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District)
  18. Kim Schrier (Washington’s 8th Congressional District)