- Disagreement over the sanctions timetable.
- Each side sabotages the other with its domestic sales pitch.
- The regional situation melts down further.
- The Sunni Arab states remain unconvinced
- Scott Walker [or any other Republican hawk] is elected president
"At first they wanted us to have 100 centrifuges now we will have 6000. They wanted restrictions of 25 years now we its 8."— Thomas Erdbrink (@ThomasErdbrink) July 14, 2015
"First we could only have IR1 centrifuges, now we can have IR6,7 and 8, advanced centrifuges!"— Thomas Erdbrink (@ThomasErdbrink) July 14, 2015
"Heavy water plant Arak had to be dismantled but now we it will remain with heavy water under conditions."— Thomas Erdbrink (@ThomasErdbrink) July 14, 2015
"Fordo had to be closed now we will have 1000 centrifuges there," Rouhani says.— Thomas Erdbrink (@ThomasErdbrink) July 14, 2015
Although some provisions, including the arms embargo, are expected to be especially contentious in Congress, Mr. Obama’s chances of ultimately prevailing are considered high. Even if the accord is voted down by one or both houses, he could veto that action, and he is likely to have the votes he would need to prevail in an effort to override the veto.