First impressions:

While our politics and budget priorities couldn’t be more different, I’ve always considered House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) a guy one could deal with. He’s typically stood against the reckless obstructionists to his right, trying to hammer out deals on shutdowns, debt ceilings and budget caps.

My fear is that he’ll be replaced by someone closer to the tea party, like Reps. Paul Ryan and Kevin McCarthy. That could make the path to the kind of deals noted above even more rocky than it already is.

My guess is that his resignation at the end of next month makes a near-term shutdown less likely, i.e., it clears the path for a “clean CR” — a budget patch without noxious riders, like defunding Planned Parenthood — as Boehner will presumably be less concerned about pressure from the hard right of his caucus.

But if I’m right, that just shifts my worries to the debt ceiling debate. We likely hit the debt ceiling in November, and if the absence of Speaker Boehner makes it harder to get past this potentially serious, self-inflicted wound, then woe betide our economy, markets, recovery, interest rates, etc.