We combed through the list to find Super Bowl prop bets worth throwing down a few bucks on, with their picks below in bold.
For the uninitiated, negative odds denote the favorite (minus-110 means you would wager $110 to win $100), while positive odds denote the underdog (plus-110 means you would wager $100 to win $110).
Longest reception by Tyreek Hill
Over 27½ -110
Under 27½ -110
The Kansas City speedster is averaging almost 15 yards per reception this season, including the playoffs, with nine of 66 catches producing 28 yards or more. And San Francisco’s defense allows, on average, one reception per game in excess of 28 yards, with three in the last two playoff games alone. — Neil Greenberg
Total rushing yards by Raheem Mostert
Over 80½ -110
Under 80½ -110
The Chiefs’ run defense improved mightily after their Week 12 bye but they still are susceptible to the ground game. Kansas City went from allowing 143.1 rushing yards per game during the first 11 weeks to 95.4 per game during the last five weeks of the regular season. They allowed 94 rushing yards to the Houston Texans in the divisional playoff game and just 85 rushing yards to the Tennessee Titans in the AFC championship game. Still, almost half of the 15 running backs with at least 10 carries against the Chiefs this season have recorded 99 rushing yards or more. — Neil Greenberg
Longest rush by Raheem Mostert
Over 16.5 yards (-110)
Under 16.5 yards (-110)
The Chiefs’ defense allowed a run of at least 10 yards — so-called “explosive runs” — on 56 of 416 rushing plays this season, as tabulated by Warren Sharp. That 13 percent rate ranked 28th in the NFL. Mostert topped 16.5 yards on three of his four rushing touchdowns and had four total runs of at least 16.5 yards against the Packers in the NFC championship game. On Oct. 27 against the Panthers, who ranked dead last in Sharp’s explosive run metric, he had a 41-yard touchdown run. On Dec. 29 against the Seahawks (30th in defensive explosive run rate), he had a 17-yard run. — Matt Bonesteel
Will the 49ers convert a fourth-down attempt?
Since Kyle Shanahan took over as the 49ers’ head coach in 2017, the team has only converted a fourth-down opportunity in a third of its games. San Francisco has converted seven fourth-down chances in 2019, none since Week 15 against the Falcons. — Neil Greenberg
Total quarterback sacks by the 49ers’ defense
Over 2½ +130
Under 2½ -150
San Francisco generated the second-highest pressure rate in the NFL this season (29 percent) and four of its defensive linemen were credited with at least 6½ sacks: Arik Armstead (team-leading 10 sacks), Nick Bosa (nine), DeForest Buckner (7½), and Dee Ford (6½). The 49ers have also registered nine sacks in their two playoffs games. San Francisco has already registered three or more sacks 12 times this season, including the playoffs. — Neil Greenberg
Total first-half points by the Kansas City Chiefs
Over 13½ -110
Under 13½ -110
The 49ers’ defense has allowed more than 10 points in the first half just four times this season. They have held their opponent to no more than a touchdown in the first half 11 times. San Francisco pitched four first-half shutouts, and that includes holding the Green Bay Packers to zero points in the first half of the NFC championship game. — Neil Greenberg
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt?
It’s the last game of the season, so there’s desperation in the air. And while neither Kansas City nor San Francisco went for two a whole lot this season — the Chiefs twice (both in the same game Dec. 15) and the 49ers five times — this prop has hit in eight of the past 10 Super Bowls. — Matt Bonesteel
Will Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes throw an interception?
Mahomes is one of the most accurate passers in the game. Almost 71 percent of his passes were classified as “on target” by Sports Info Solutions and his rate of interceptions (five over 484 pass attempts) was the third lowest in the NFL this season behind only Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. — Neil Greenberg
Who will have more?
Alex Ovechkin shots on goal (-1½) -170
Patrick Mahomes touchdown passes +145
The Washington Capitals’ star is taking more than 4.5 shots per game this season and will face the Pittsburgh Penguins on Super Bowl Sunday. In his career, Ovechkin has averaged more than five shots against Pittsburgh. But this year’s Penguins are among the better shot suppressors in the NHL at both even strength (third best) and on the penalty kill (10th best), perhaps limiting Ovechkin’s offense in the matinee. Remember, he needs to top Mahomes’s touchdown passes by more than 1½.
Mahomes has multiple touchdown throws in nine of his 16 games played this season, including the playoffs, and in 24 of 35 games since the Chiefs drafted him in 2017. — Neil Greenberg
Will either team score in the first 6½ minutes of the game?
According to data from TruMedia, the 49ers and Chiefs scored 16 times (11 touchdowns and five field goals) in the first 6½ minutes of games during the regular season and playoffs combined, a span encompassing 48 drives. That rate implies a money line of plus-200 for the affirmative, so “no” looks like a bargain. — Neil Greenberg
Will either team score in the final 3½ minutes of the game?
There’s a reason this is so juicy: This prop has hit in five straight Super Bowls and in 21 of the past 26. The last time this prop bet didn’t come through was Super Bowl XLVIII in the 2013 season, the last NFL championship game that truly could be considered a blowout (Seahawks 43, Broncos 8). With the point spread this year hovering close to pick ’em, a close game with a late score is a distinct possibility. — Matt Bonesteel
Will the 49ers convert their first third-down attempt?
The Chiefs allowed opponents to convert 10 of 21 third-down attempts (47.6 percent) on the first defensive possession of the game during the regular season. They have allowed opponents to convert two of three attempts on their first possession in the playoffs. — Neil Greenberg
What will happen first?
49ers score +110
49ers punt -130
San Francisco scored before it punted in 11 of 18 games this season, including three of four entering the Super Bowl. Kansas City allowed an opponent to score before it punted in 11 of 18 games this season, including both playoff games. At least one team has scored on its opening drive in nine of the past 13 Super Bowls. — Matt Bonesteel
Total yardage of all touchdowns in game
Over 102½ -110
Under 102½ -110
The 49ers and Chiefs have scored 116 touchdowns over 35 games in the regular season and playoffs combined, covering a total of 2,327 yards, per data from TruMedia. That averages to 133 yards per game on plays ending in a touchdown. Kansas City by itself has averaged 82.5 yards per game on touchdown plays in its two playoff wins. — Neil Greenberg
Points by both teams in the highest-scoring quarter
Over 21 +120
Under 21 -140
Of the 144 quarters played by the teams this season, only 14 went over 21 total points (eight by the Chiefs, six by the 49ers) while nine landed on exactly 21. The Chiefs have had only one quarter go over 21 points in their past seven games. — Matt Bonesteel