Trump’s early-state poll problem
The polls nationally have narrowed. But the polls in the states that matter more in the GOP primaries are actually worse for him.
By Aaron BlakeWhy the Chinese spy balloon case isn’t as simple as ‘just shoot it down’
The situation is not nearly as simple as the "shoot it down" crowd might lead you to believe.
By Aaron BlakeTwo years after Jan. 6, Trump is still promoting violent rhetoric
The former president has employed suggestive rhetoric before. But the message he promoted to his social media followers this week was strikingly direct.
By Aaron BlakeGeorge Santos’s shady campaign money, explained
Let’s run down what we’ve learned about his potential legal liabilities and financial issues.
By Aaron BlakeTimeline: Biden’s retention of classified documents
What we know so far about where and when the documents were discovered, and when they were disclosed.
By Aaron BlakeNikki Haley’s 2024 prospects
Polls showed she was the rare Trump administration official who was well-regarded on both sides of the political spectrum. Now come some hard decisions.
By Aaron BlakeThe Sotomayor and Kagan retirement question
With Democrats' hold on the Senate tenuous, some argue that at least one of the liberal justices should retire. If they did, it would be extraordinarily unusual.
By Aaron BlakeThe historic support for George Santos’s resignation
Nearly 8 in 10 want him out (including 7 in 10 Republicans). About the only politician who exceeded that this century was former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich (D).
By Aaron BlakeTrump’s opening volley at DeSantis doesn’t make much sense
Trump is criticizing the Florida governor for closing down his state during the pandemic, though it pursued an ambitious reopening — and earned his praise at the time.
By Aaron BlakeThe crimes Trump could be charged with in Fulton County, Georgia
District Attorney Fani Willis says charging decisions are "imminent." Here's what could be on the table for Trump — or his allies.
By Aaron BlakeA retrospective on the right’s Paul Pelosi conspiracy theories
Newly-released footage should quash speculation about the assault. But the Pelosi episode shows how many on the right are all too easer to spread innuendo and debunked claims.
By Aaron BlakeHow the Ilhan Omar committee vote compares to Marjorie Taylor Greene’s
Given McCarthy’s claim that he’s simply applying the new standard set by Democrats, it’s worth running through a comparison of the two situations.
By Aaron BlakeSenate Democrats had a good 2022. The 2024 election could be brutal.
Democrats beat history by holding the Senate and actually gaining a seat. That will be exceedingly difficult in 2024, given how the map looks.
By Aaron Blake and Nick MourtoupalasThe GOP’s big risk in legitimizing Marjorie Taylor Greene
What does it mean for Republicans to promote her as a face of the party? And what do voters think of the congresswoman?
By Aaron BlakeGOP gives the Freedom Caucus the keys to the car
The Freedom Caucus is a small portion of the House GOP. But thanks to newly announced committee assignments and spots on key panels, it will be the face of the party.
By Aaron BlakeThe plot thickens on George Santos’s biggest problem
Santos’s campaign amended his campaign finance filings. But the changes still don't clear up the questions surrounding his potential financial improprieties.
By Aaron BlakeClassified documents show gap in how partisans criticize Trump, Biden
A poll asked Republicans, Democrats and independents about their views on whether the two leaders handled documents appropriately.
By Aaron BlakeWilliam Barr is still misleading about the Mueller report
The former attorney general has distanced himself from former president Donald Trump in some ways. But when it comes to perhaps his most high-profile controversy, old habits die hard.
By Aaron BlakeHow bad a candidate was Kari Lake? This bad.
A new study of Maricopa County shows how many Republican voters election deniers lost in 2022 — and how many crossed the aisle to vote for Democrats.
By Aaron BlakeThe most intriguing line in the Supreme Court leak report
Though the report stated it couldn't determine who leaked the draft opinion that overturned Roe, it seemed to arrive at another, pretty significant conclusion without providing evidence.
By Aaron Blake