A flash flood emergency was declared for New Orleans Wednesday morning when six to 10 inches of rain engulfed the city, much of it falling over the course of an hour or two.
The deluge may have just been a preview of more serious flooding situation from Tropical Storm or Hurricane Barry, which could affect the area into the weekend.
Due to the effects of Barry, the Mississippi River is projected to see one of its highest crests on record in New Orleans Saturday, or the highest since the 1920s. The National Weather Service projects the river to crest at 20 feet, which is at the same height levees protect the city.
The storm surge, or rise in ocean water above normally dry land when Barry comes ashore, could push several feet of ocean water up the mouth of the Mississippi River, elevating the river level to these record-challenging heights.
Due to a historic spring flood season in central U.S., the Mississippi River level at New Orleans of 16 feet is already high, just a foot below flood stage. The projected surge of 3 to 5 feet from Barry would raise its level to 19 to 22 feet. The river hits moderate flood stage at 19 feet and major flood stage at 20 feet (when the levees are tested) while 21.3 feet is the highest level ever recorded from 1922.
Because of the surge and resulting flood potential, New Orleans is already under a storm surge watch.
The flooding along the Mississippi could be compounded by heavy rainfall associated with Barry, which hit suddenly Wednesday morning before the storm had even formed. As the torrent raged, city officials advised commuters to stay off the roads because of numerous high water incidents. Many businesses and parts of the city government closed.
Flooding caused street closures and water rescues in dozens of spots. The heavy rain that created the flooding in New Orleans later tracked to the southwest, prompting an additional flash flood emergency for Jefferson Parish.
Before the flash flood emergency was issued for the city, a tornado warning was in effect and waterspouts were photographed over Lake Pontchartrain.
While the rains have eased for now in New Orleans, forecasts project Barry to strike the coast of Louisiana or northeast Texas this weekend. Depending on where it makes landfall, Wednesday morning’s torrent could be just the beginning of flooding problems in and around New Orleans.
Excessive amounts of rain could fall, or just a moderate amount. If Barry tracks well west of New Orleans, close to the border of Louisiana and Texas, the flood risk would decrease. But a track closer to the city could pose a severe flood threat, both from rain and storm surge.
The outlook from the National Weather Service calls for about eight inches of rain in New Orleans over coming days. Forecasts project over a foot of rain could fall in central and western Louisiana, but some shifts in these projections are possible.
Because the Mississippi River is already so high, even small amounts of additional water from rain and surge will cause problems. In Baton Rouge, the Mississippi has remained at flood stage since early January, a record-long duration.
The region is likely to deal with the storm and its associated effects through at least early next week, when it should get kicked away. Flood concerns, both from rainfall and storm surge, will remain high through then.
Below, find some more images of Wednesday morning’s flooding.