As advertised earlier, we’ve hit a midday lull in the snow around the DMV. We expect lighter and more intermittent snow the next couple of hours, with snow likely to pick up again after 2 p.m. or so, which should push accumulation totals into at least the lower end of our forecast range for today (a general 3 to 5 inches is what we called for across the area).
Still looking for the snow to change to a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain from south to north around 4 to 8 p.m., with lighter and more intermittent sleet and freezing rain (north and west of D.C./I-95) and rain (from D.C./I-95 to the south and east) into the night.
So what about the prospects for the potential part two of the storm tomorrow, which we’ve said could bring a few more inches to some locations, but also could mostly fizzle? It all depends on when and where a new area of low pressure forms along the coast.
Our winter weather expert Wes Junker writes, “The models are still forecasting snow to redevelop across the region tomorrow, though they have walked back from the idea of a really intense snow band across the area. However, since there is still uncertainty of how quickly and where the coastal low will start strengthening, we still can’t rule out a narrow stronger band forming somewhere within the broader area of lighter snow."
We think areas north and northeast of D.C. have the best chance of picking up meaningful snow accumulation tomorrow afternoon into the evening, but it’s still a somewhat low-confidence forecast.
Stay tuned as we’ll be watching model data throughout the day and updating our forecast.