Across the area, temperatures remain at or below freezing (between 29 and 32 degrees). This afternoon, we should see temperatures edge above freezing into the mid-30s in most spots. However, in the mean time, untreated surfaces are icy and treacherous. Continue to use caution. Even with the modest warming this afternoon, many areas will remain slick and then everything will refreeze after dark.
Today’s daily digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
4/10: After a light morning wintry mix possible, some melting and drying out. Plus peeks of sunshine are a good bet during the afternoon.
- Today: Light wintry mix ending. Highs: Mid-30s to around 40.
- Tonight: Clearing, gustier breeze. Lows: Upper teens to low 20s.
- Tomorrow: Sunny but windy. Highs: Around 30 to mid-30s.
- Sunday: Mostly sunny, calmer. Highs: Upper 30s to near 40.
Forecast in detail
It doesn’t take much iciness to be a big problem, and we’ll be dealing with some of those problems this morning, but conditions should improve by this afternoon. Any lingering and spotty mixed precipitation pulls away from the region and temperatures warm above freezing this afternoon. Before a warming trend starts taking hold next week, we may face one more small wintry mix chance Sunday night into Monday.
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Today (Friday): A light wintry mix may fall intermittently during the morning hours. It should be out of here by afternoon if not before. Stay cautious when walking or driving, especially until the sun has been up a while. How much sun we see is in question. Clouds may hang tough until later afternoon hours. We should be able to melt some of our icy mess off, with afternoon high temperatures mainly reaching the upper 30s to around 40 degrees. Light northwest breezes rise slowly to near 10 mph by sunset. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: Cold air reinforcements arrive, with low temperatures in the upper teens to low 20s. Skies clear, but it’s partially thanks to a blustery wind, which is helping dry us out and chill us down at the same time. Bundle up — winds gusting out of the northwest around 20 mph at times push wind chills into the teens. Patchy icy spots are still possible, so please stay on guard. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow (Saturday): This one has its trade-offs. While it’s sunny, it’s also blustery. It may look nice from the window inside, but do plan to bundle up with multiple layers if you’re getting out to soak up some of those strengthening late-February rays. Northwesterly winds around 20 mph could create wind chills at least 10 degrees colder than high temperatures around 30 to the mid-30s. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow night: Skies should stay nice and clear. Northwesterly breezes around 10 mph in the evening try to calm by dawn. Look up, for the waxing moon passing over Orion’s head in the night sky. Low temperatures bottom out in the low teens in cold spots to around 20 downtown. National Airport (where D.C.'s records are kept) may reset its coldest low temperature this winter that has held since Dec. 26 (it was 23 for a low). Confidence: Medium-High
A look ahead
Sunday: It’s a relatively nice and sunny day with less wind! Still, high temperatures aren’t too much warmer than Saturday, into the upper 30s and perhaps up near 40. Although it’s a step up, it’s also notably below average for the date, by about 10 degrees. Some cloud cover may move in late. Confidence: Medium-High
Sunday night: Clouds increase. Light wintry mix can’t be ruled out later in the nighttime hours, especially toward dawn. The insulating effect of the clouds should keep temperatures from falling quite as far, into the upper 20s to low 30s. Any accumulation will depend on how temperatures look as/if any precipitation arrives. Points north and west, especially, should check back on the forecast later this weekend. Confidence: Low-Medium
Clouds rule much of Monday as a periodic wintry mix and rain showers try to pull away from the region by late day. Little, if any, accumulation is expected, but we’ll keep an eye on it, especially for areas to the north and west. Precipitation, no matter the type, doesn’t look too heavy as it appears now. High temperatures aim for around 40 to mid-40s. Confidence: Low-Medium
Skies are sunnier Tuesday, and it’s rather mild, as our warming trend really starts to get going. High temperatures should get to around 50 degrees, with mid-50s possible if a warmer southwesterly breeze can boost us even higher. Confidence: Medium
Snow potential index
A daily assessment of the potential for at least one inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.
3/10: Friday morning’s remnant wintry mix could include some snowflakes. A slightly higher chance we see flakes momentarily stick with the next storm Monday morning.