The front-runner in Sunday’s runoff election, Jair Bolsonaro, 63, has waxed poetic about the generals who led Brazil from 1964 to 1985 — their biggest flaw, he argues, is that they didn’t kill enough dissidents. If he wins, he has vowed to stock his cabinet with retired officers, throw leftists in jail, outlaw land-rights groups, weed liberal thought from schools and encourage police to use lethal force.
An iron fist, though, is exactly what some Brazilians seem to want. Confronting runaway crime, a sluggish economy and enormous political corruption, almost a third of voters, polls show, have grown nostalgic for the dictatorship. They portray it as a period of law and order when Latin America’s largest nation thrived.
At a rally in Rio de Janeiro last Sunday, Bolsonaro supporters wildly cheered a passing vehicle carrying heavily armed soldiers — part of an offensive to pacify this violent city’s slums. “Woo-hoo! Let’s go boys! Get them!” yelled one woman, wearing a T-shirt portraying Bolsonaro as Francis Ford Coppola’s Godfather.
“It really is frustrating, man,” the Brazilian singer Geraldo Azevedo, who was imprisoned and tortured for 41 days during the dictatorship, told the audience during a performance last weekend. “I was jailed twice during the dictatorship. I was tortured. You don’t know what torture is. All this joy you’re feeling now will disappear, you know that? Brazil is going to become awful if this man wins.”
In 1999, Bolsonaro — then a fringe lawmaker — delivered a fiery speech in which he pledged, if he ever became president, to call on the military to take control of the nation on “Day One.” He has since walked back those words — and pledged frequently in the past few months to uphold democracy.
But his son and adviser — the lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro — recently suggested that soldiers could shut down the supreme court if there were any attempts to prevent his father from taking office. Jair Bolsonaro won a first round of voting this month and is now polling ahead of his leftist opponent, Fernando Haddad, by 12 percentage points as they go into the runoff this weekend. Speaking at a rally in Sao Paulo last Sunday, the candidate unleashed a string of threats.
He vowed that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazil’s former leftist president, who is serving a 12-year sentence on corruption charges, would “rot in jail.” Haddad, Bolsonaro suggested, may join him behind bars. He threatened to declare the Landless Workers’ Movement — a massive social movement known for run-ins with large land owners — a terrorist organization. He declared open season on leftists.
“Either they go overseas or they go to jail,” Bolsonaro said. “These red outlaws will be banished from our homeland. It will be a cleanup the likes of which has never been seen in Brazilian history.”
From the beginning, Bolsonaro’s candidacy has been steeped in militarism. His running mate, Hamilton Mourão, is a retired four-star general infamous for his criticism of democracy. Last year, at a speech in Brasilia, Bolsonaro lamented the state of Brazilian democracy, saying, “When we look with fear and sadness at what is happening, we say, ‘Why don’t we just tear this thing down.’ ”
If he wins, Bolsonaro is expected to appoint military men to head the ministries of defense, infrastructure and education. Those ministries have a combined budget of $66 billion, or a fifth of the government’s overall spending.
For education minister, analysts expect Bolsonaro to tap retired Gen. Alessio Souto, who has defended “military intervention” to “put democracy back on an appropriate track.” He is expected to aggressively push Bolsonaro’s plan for “no-party” schools — a program that would effectively ban teachers from espousing political views in classrooms.
“It basically serves as a right-wing ideological patrol, because they’ve come up with this narrative that teachers and professors in Brazil are always trying to indoctrinate children as leftists,” said Guilherme Casarões, a comparative politics professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation, a university in Sao Paulo.
Brazil’s right-wing dictatorship was notably less murderous than those in neighboring Argentina and Chile. Nevertheless, at least 434 people were killed or “disappeared” while the military was in charge. Torture techniques included holding mock crucifixions of dissidents.
Unlike some other regimes in Latin America, Brazil’s military rulers attempted to keep up a veneer of democracy after taking over in 1964. The presidency rotated among a cast of generals, and Congress remained open, though it largely operated as a rubber stamp. Elections were rigged, and most political parties were abolished.
The dictatorship led to higher levels of economic inequality as workers’ rights declined, the minimum wage remained low and salaries rose for the top layer of society. Corruption was rampant, but press censorship meant the public rarely found out about scandals. Speaking out about wrongdoing could lead to prison, torture and death.
“Bolsonaro is selling the idea that there was no corruption under the regime. But there was corruption, and a lot of it, just none that the press could denounce,” said Jorge Ferreira, a historian who has written books on the dictatorship.
Critics fear Bolsonaro would call on the generals for support in the event of a constitutional crisis or attempted impeachment. But it is not clear whether they would answer. Experts say the institution has matured since the military left power in 1985 — and its leaders have little interest in political intervention.
“I think the analysts who say Brazil will have a coup under Bolsonaro are doing their analysis out of Washington offices,” said Lucas de Aragão, director of Arko Advice, a political-risk company in Brasilia. “That’s not going to happen. The military in Brazil no longer has an agenda of power.”
The military remains one of the country’s most respected institutions. About 78 percent of Brazilians trust the armed forces, compared with 31 percent who feel the same way about Congress.
“While Brazilian politics fell into moral ruin, the military remained on the outside, they didn’t engage, and conquered the highest levels of prestige and confidence of the people. All this has benefited Bolsonaro as a candidate,” said Paulo Chagas, a retired Brazilian army general and politician.
Brazil’s era of democracy has been tarnished by the corruption and mismanagement of its political class. Since 1985, two elected presidents have been impeached, and a former leader has gone to jail. The sitting president, Michel Temer, is under indictment for alleged money laundering, a charge he denies.
At the same time, millions of Brazilians have become increasingly afraid. Homicide rates here have jumped to record levels as urban slums have turned into gangland killing fields.
Some experts say that Bolsonaro’s tough-on-crime proposals — including encouraging police to use lethal force against criminals and relaxing gun laws so civilians can fight fire with fire — will only intensify the bloodbath, particularly in the country’s shantytowns.
But even there, many are clamoring for the kind of iron-fisted policy that Bolsonaro has promised.
“I’m voting for him because he will combat the drug trade,” said Osvaldo da Torres, 60, an evangelical pastor who ministers in Rocinha, Rio’s largest slum. “Every day, someone around here is dying. It’s very important that people who have guns know that if they commit a crime, they will be punished severely.”
“He used to be in the military,” Torres said. “He understands.”
Lopes reported from Sao Paulo.