Washington Post Poll

Read More: Maryland Poll Data  |  More Coverage of Virginia Trends This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone October 4-8, 2007, among a random sample of 1,144 adults in the Commonwealth of Virginia, including additional interviews with randomly-selected adults living in Loudoun (total=109) and Prince William (total=101) counties. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. For the samples of 504 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents and 508 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents it is plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent RV=Registered voters LV=Likely voters 1. What is the single biggest issue facing Virginia today? ------Likely Voters------ Northern Rest All All Virginia of state Transportation/ traffic/roads and transit 21 22 38 16 Economy/jobs 13 14 8 17 Education 8 5 4 6 Immigration/illegal immigration 7 9 17 7 Taxes 7 7 3 8 Health care 6 9 2 12 Crime 5 4 0 6 Iraq/War in Iraq 4 4 6 3 Environment 3 3 6 2 Housing/mortgages/ affordable housing 3 2 3 2 Energy issues/gas prices 2 2 2 2 Ethics/honesty/ corruption in government 2 2 1 2 State budget/deficit 2 2 2 2 Guns/Gun control 1 * 0 * Abortion * * 1 0 Mental health issues * 0 0 0 Terrorism/national Security * 1 0 1 Drugs * 1 0 1 The election * * 1 * Growth/Over Development * * 1 0 None * * 1 0 Other 7 7 4 9 DK/No opinion 9 4 3 4 2. (IF GAVE ISSUE, Q1) Is there another issue that's almost as important? ------Likely Voters------ Northern Rest All All Virginia of state Transportation/ traffic/roads and transit 12 11 15 9 Education 9 11 11 12 Economy/jobs 7 6 5 6 Health care 7 8 1 10 Taxes 7 8 9 8 Immigration/illegal immigration 6 8 16 5 Crime 5 4 2 5 Iraq/War in Iraq 4 4 2 4 Environment 3 3 8 2 Housing/mortgages/ affordable housing 3 3 3 3 Energy issues/gas prices 2 4 3 4 Abortion 1 1 2 0 Ethics/honesty/ corruption in government 1 2 2 2 State budget/deficit 1 1 1 1 Guns/Gun control * 1 0 1 Mental health issues * * 0 * Terrorism/national Security 1 1 1 1 Drugs 1 1 0 1 The election 1 2 2 2 Growth/Over Development * * * * None 2 2 2 3 Other 6 5 4 5 DK/No opinion 19 15 13 16 Q1/Q2 NET Top 1 or 2 issues* ------Likely Voters------ Northern Rest All All Virginia of state Transportation/ traffic/roads and transit 31 33 52 25 Economy/jobs 20 20 11 23 Education 15 16 14 17 Health care 13 17 4 22 Immigration/illegal immigration 13 17 31 11 Taxes 13 15 11 16 Crime 10 7 2 10 Iraq/War in Iraq 8 7 7 7 Environment 7 6 12 4 Housing/mortgages/ affordable housing 5 5 6 5 Energy issues/gas prices 4 5 5 5 Ethics/honesty/ corruption in government 3 4 3 4 State budget/deficit 2 3 2 3 Abortion 1 1 3 0 Drugs 1 1 0 2 The election 1 2 3 2 Guns/Gun control 1 1 0 2 Terrorism/national Security 1 1 1 1 Growth/Over Development 1 1 2 * Mental health issues * * 0 * None 2 2 2 3 Other 12 11 6 13 DK/No opinion 9 4 3 4 *Combined first and second responses, does not add to 100. 3. Do you think things in the state of Virginia (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)? Right Wrong No direction track opin. 10/8/07 All 52 43 5 10/8/07 RV 54 41 5 10/8/07 LV 57 39 4 10/12/06 LV 67 30 3 10/26/05 LV 70 25 5 9/9/05 LV 68 28 4 9/9/05 RV 65 31 4 8/23/01 RV 59 34 7 8/27/00 RV 71 22 7 6/23/94 RV 53 38 8 2/3/94 55 36 9 4. Generally speaking, how would you rate the overall economy of Virginia: excellent, good, not-so-good or poor? ----Excellent/Good---- ----Not so good/Poor---- No NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor opin. 10/8/07 All 70 7 63 29 23 6 1 10/8/07 LV 72 10 62 28 23 5 * 9/9/05 RV 83 12 70 17 14 3 * 10/25/01 LV 76 8 68 23 20 3 1 8/23/01 RV 78 9 69 21 18 4 1 8/27/00 RV 87 21 67 12 10 2 1 10/27/97 LV 83 16 67 16 13 3 1 9/16/97 RV 82 15 68 17 13 4 1 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin. 10/8/07 All 35 16 19 63 15 48 2 10/8/07 RV 37 18 20 61 13 47 2 10/12/06 LV 43 26 17 56 12 44 1 10/26/05 LV 44 NA NA 55 NA NA 2 9/9/05 LV 47 NA NA 51 NA NA 2 9/9/05 RV 47 NA NA 51 NA NA 2 Compare to Post-ABC national : Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 9/30/07 33 15 18 64 14 49 3 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as governor? Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 63 25 12 10/8/07 RV 65 26 9 10/8/07 LV 67 27 5 10/12/06 LV 77 19 4 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James Webb is handling his job as U.S. Senator? Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 50 27 22 10/8/07 RV 52 28 20 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Warner is handling his job as U.S. Senator? Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 65 22 14 10/8/07 RV 67 21 12 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Virginia state legislature is doing its job? Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 44 44 12 10/8/07 RV 43 46 10 10/8/07 LV 43 53 4 10/12/06 LV 52 42 6 8/27/00 RV 66 20 14 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way (ITEM) are doing their job? 10/8/07 Summary Table a. the Republicans in the state legislature Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 40 50 10 10/8/07 LV 40 56 4 b. the Democrats in the state legislature Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/07 All 49 40 11 10/8/07 LV 52 45 3 11. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of: 10/8/07 - Summary Table Favorable Unfavorable No opin. a. Mark Warner 67 19 15 b. Jim Gilmore 40 33 27 c. Tom Davis 28 18 54 Trend where available: a. Mark Warner Favorable Unfavorable No opin. 10/8/07 All 67 19 15 10/8/07 RV 69 19 12 10/12/06 LV 73 20 7 10/26/05 LV 75 19 6 9/9/05 LV 70 26 4 9/9/05 RV 69 23 8 10/25/01 LV 62 30 8 8/23/01 RV 65 23 12 b. Jim Gilmore Favorable Unfavorable No opin. 10/8/07 ALL 40 32 28 10/8/07 RV 41 34 25 9/16/97 60 27 13 c. No Trend. 12. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM)? 10/8/07 - Summary Table Both Neither No Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op. a. The situation in Iraq 43 36 3 15 4 b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism 38 40 5 12 5 c. Taxes 45 37 3 12 3 d. Immigration issues 41 33 3 17 5 Trend where available: a. The situation in Iraq Both Neither No Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op. 10/8/07 43 36 3 15 4 Compare to Post-ABC national poll: Both Neither No Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op. 9/30/07 49 34 3 11 3 b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism Both Neither No Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op. 10/8/07 38 40 5 12 5 Compare to Post-ABC national poll: Both Neither No Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op. 9/30/07 41 40 5 10 4 c,d. No Trend. 13. (FOR LIKELY VOTER SCREENING) Would you say you are following this year's races for General Assembly in Virginia very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? ------Closely------ -----Not closely----- No NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all opin. 10/8/07 38 10 28 62 34 27 * 14. (REGISTERED VOTERS; FOR LIKELY VOTER SCREENING) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the Virginia state elections this November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Certain Probably Chances Less than Don't think No to Vote vote 50/50 50/50 will vote(vol.) opin. 10/8/07 70 15 11 2 1 * 15. Regardless of your local contest, which party would you like to see in control of the Virginia state legislature after the November elections, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)? Democrats Republicans Prefer divided (vol.) No op. 10/8/07 All 50 38 7 5 10/8/07 LV 50 42 7 2 16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY) For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for the STATE LEGISLATURE this year - extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not at all important? a. Transportation issues ------ Important ------ ------ Not Important ------ No NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opin. 10/8/07 RV 66 27 39 34 28 6 * 10/8/07 LV 70 32 38 30 27 3 0 b. The economy ------ Important ------ ------ Not Important ------ No NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opin. 10/8/07 RV 81 37 44 19 17 2 1 10/8/07 LV 83 39 44 17 15 1 * c. Immigration issues ------ Important ------ ------ Not Important ------ No NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opin. 10/8/07 RV 66 29 36 34 28 6 1 10/8/07 LV 74 36 38 25 21 4 1 d. Taxes ------ Important ------ ------ Not Important ------ No NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opin. 10/8/07 RV 78 32 46 22 20 3 * 10/8/07 LV 79 34 45 21 19 2 0 17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY) If a candidate for the state legislature [READ ITEM] would that make you (more likely) to vote for that candidate, (less likely), or doesn't it make a difference in your vote? How about if a candidate [NEXT ITEM]? a. Supports the Bush administration on most issues More likely Less likely No difference No opinion 10/8/07 RV 27 44 28 1 10/8/07 LV 28 47 24 1 b. Backs the state's new abusive driver fees More likely Less likely No difference No opinion 10/8/07 RV 18 55 24 3 10/8/07 LV 19 56 23 3 c. Wants strong state and local action against illegal immigrants More likely Less likely No difference No opinion 10/8/07 RV 56 19 24 1 10/8/07 LV 60 17 23 0 18/18a. Thinking ahead to next year's U.S. Senate race, if the Virginia Republican party held a primary election and the candidates were (Tom Davis) and (Jim Gilmore), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward? NET VOTE: Tom Jim Other Neither Would not No Davis Gilmore (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin. 10/8/07 29 48 * 4 1 18 19/19a. And thinking about the NOVEMBER 2008 U.S. Senate race, if the election were being held today and the candidates were (Mark Warner, the Democrat), and (Tom Davis, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward? NET VOTE: Mark Tom Other Neither No Warner Davis (vol.) (vol.) opin. 10/8/07 63 28 0 3 6 20/20a. And thinking about the NOVEMBER 2008 U.S. Senate race, if the election were being held today and the candidates were (Mark Warner, the Democrat), and (Jim Gilmore, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward? NET VOTE: Mark Jim Other Neither No Warner Gilmore (vol.) (vol.) opin. 10/8/07 61 31 * 3 5 21. And what is the single most important issue to you when thinking about the November 2008 U.S. Senate race? 10/8/07 Iraq/War in Iraq 17 Economy/jobs 16 Immigration/illegal immigration 8 Health care 7 Taxes 7 Education 6 Ethics/honesty/ corruption in government 6 Transportation/ traffic/roads and transit 4 Terrorism/national Security 4 Environment 2 Abortion 1 Crime 1 Energy issues/gas prices 1 Federal budget/deficit 1 Guns/Gun control * Housing/mortgages/ affordable housing * Mental health issues * Drugs * None * Other 6 DK/No opinion 13 22. Is traffic congestion a problem in your part of the state, or not? IF PROBLEM: Is it a very serious problem or only somewhat serious? ------ Problem ------ Not a No NET Very Somewhat problem opinion 10/8/07 All 63 39 24 37 * 10/8/07 LV 62 42 21 38 0 23. Would you say the traffic in your area has gotten much better, somewhat better, stayed about the same, gotten somewhat worse, or gotten much worse over the last five years? --------Better------- --------Worse-------- No NET Much Somewhat Same NET Somewhat Much op. 10/8/07 All 11 3 8 25 62 30 32 2 10/8/07 LV 9 2 7 22 69 34 35 0 24. From what you've heard or read, do you believe that the state's new transportation funding plan spends (too little), (too much), or the right amount of money on transportation projects? Too Too Right Never heard of No little much amount it (vol.) opinion 10/8/07 All 45 16 25 7 7 10/8/07 LV 56 14 23 3 4 25. As you may know, a new state law includes a series of abusive driver fees, ranging from seven hundred and fifty dollars to three thousand dollars targeting those with multiple driving violations. Overall, do you support or oppose these fees? Support Oppose No opinion 10/8/07 All 34 63 2 10/8/07 LV 34 64 2 26. (IF OPPOSE FEES, Q25) What's the main reason you oppose these fees - do you think (they're too high), (they should also apply to out-of-state drivers) or something else? Too Should also apply to Something Both No high out-of-state drivers else (vol.) Unfair op. 10/8/07 All 31 37 15 14 3 1 10/8/07 LV 27 43 12 14 3 * 27. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? ----- Worth fighting ---- --- Not worth fighting -- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 10/8/07 39 27 12 58 13 45 3 Compare to Post-ABC national poll: 9/30/07 38 25 14 59 12 47 3 28. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); OR, do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)? Keep forces Withdraw forces No opinion 10/8/07 45 51 4 Compare to Post-ABC national poll: 9/30/07 43 54 3 29. Now thinking about recent immigrants who have come to the U.S. to live and work in the past ten years or so. How many recent immigrants would you say live in your part of Virginia - many, some, only a few or none? --- Many/Some --- --- Few/None --- NET Many Some NET Few None No opinion 10/8/07 86 62 24 12 11 1 2 30. How much contact do you, personally have with recent immigrants - a great deal, a moderate amount, not much or none at all? ------ Contact ------ ----- No Contact ---- Grt Moderate Not None No NET deal amount NET much at all opinion 10/8/07 All 52 19 33 47 31 16 1 31. (IF RECENT IMMIGRANTS, Q29) Generally speaking, have the recent immigrants in your area made it a (better) place to live, or a (worse) place to live? Better Worse No difference (vol.) No opinion 10/8/07 All 31 31 32 5 32. Which comes closer to your own views - (immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents), or (immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing, and health care)? Strengthen Burden No opinion 10/8/07 All 48 46 7 8/2/04* 47 47 6 *Kaiser/Harvard/NPR national poll 33. In general, do you think most recent immigrants do enough to learn English and fit in with American culture and values, or not? Do enough Do NOT do enough No opinion 10/8/07 All 25 70 5 34. Generally, do you think recent immigrants are (more) likely to be involved in criminal activity than people born here, (less) likely, or isn't there much difference? More Less No Difference No opinion 10/8/07 All 25 9 63 3 35. How about ILLEGAL immigrants? Is illegal immigration a problem in your part of the state, or not? IF PROBLEM: is it a very serious problem or only somewhat serious? ------ Problem ------ NET Very Somewhat Not a problem No opinion 10/8/07 All 51 20 32 38 11 10/8/07 LV 61 22 39 32 7 36. What, if anything, is your main concern about illegal immigrants - is it that you think they (take jobs from legal residents), (commit crimes), (use more in services than they pay in taxes), (broke the law to get here), (don't share American values and culture) or something else? 10/8/07 Use more in services than they pay in taxes 32 Broke the law to get here 24 Take jobs from legal residents 13 Don't share American values and culture 6 Commit crimes 4 Other 6 (VOL) The should learn English 2 (VOL) All of the above 3 (VOL) No concerns 7 No opinion 2 37. Would you support or oppose your local government setting up a place where day laborers could gather while they wait to be hired? Support Oppose No opinion 10/8/07 All 58 39 4 38. (IF SUPPORT, Q37) What if some of these day laborers were in the country illegally, in that case, would you support or oppose your local government setting up such a site? Support Oppose No opinion 10/8/07 All 46 49 5 37/38 NET: ------------------ Support ----------------- Even if immig. Oppose if immig. No No NET illegal illegal op. Oppose op. 10/8/07 All 58 27 28 3 39 4 39. In dealing with the issue of illegal immigration, do you think the FEDERAL government has (gone too far), has done about the right amount, or (has not gone far enough)? Gone Has not gone Has done No too far far enough right amount opinion 10/8/07 All 11 69 16 4 10/8/07 LV 10 76 11 2 40. Overall how much do you want the STATE and LOCAL governments to do to deal with the issue of illegal immigration – a lot, some, not much or not at all? --- A Lot/Some --- --- Not much/At all --- No NET A lot Some NET Not much At all opinion 10/8/07 All 87 53 34 12 6 6 1 10/8/07 LV 89 60 29 10 5 6 1 41. Would you support or oppose a measure requiring local police in your area to check the immigration status of anyone they suspect of a crime and believe to be an illegal immigrant? Support Oppose No opinion 10/8/07 All 78 19 2 42. (IF SUPPORT, Q41) What if that meant fewer illegal immigrants would cooperate with police investigations and report crimes — in that case would you support or oppose the measure? Support Oppose No opinion 10/8/07 All 82 15 3 41/42 NET: ----------------- Support ----------------- Even if fewer Oppose if fewer No No NET cooperate cooperate op. Oppose op. 10/8/07 All 78 64 12 3 19 2 43. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? ----- Closely ------ ----- Not closely ------ No NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion 10/8/07 74 30 44 26 16 10 * Compare to Post-ABC national poll: 9/30/07 69 21 48 30 21 10 * 08DEM1/1a. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel), for whom would you vote? NET LEANED VOTE 10/8/07 Nat'l 9/30/07* Hillary Clinton 49 53 Barack Obama 25 20 John Edwards 11 13 Bill Richardson 3 3 Joe Biden 3 2 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 Chris Dodd Mike Gravel * 0 Other (vol.) 0 * None of these (vol.) 1 4 Would not vote (vol.) * 1 No opinion 5 2 *Washington Post-ABC News national poll 08REP1/1a. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, or Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote? NET LEANED VOTE: 10/8/07 Nat'l 9/30/07* Rudy Giuliani 34 34 John McCain 20 12 Fred Thompson 19 17 Mitt Romney 9 11 Mike Huckabee 2 8 Duncan Hunter 2 2 Ron Paul 2 3 Sam Brownback 1 1 Tom Tancredo 1 1 Other (vol.) * * None of these (vol.) 4 4 Would not vote (vol.) 2 1 No opinion 5 8 *Washington Post-ABC News national poll* 46. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)? Strength and New direction Both Neither No experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opin. 10/8/07 52 38 8 1 1 9/30/07* 52 40 7 1 1 *Washington Post-ABC News national poll 47. If (NAME) wins the (Democratic/Republican) nomination for president would you definitely vote for (him/her) in the general election for president in 2008, would you consider voting for (him/her) or would you definitely not vote for (him/her)? 10/8/07 - Summary Table Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion a. Hillary Clinton 30 25 44 2 b. Barack Obama 21 39 35 5 c. John Edwards 16 37 42 5 d. Rudy Giuliani 15 36 45 4 e. John McCain 14 40 42 5 f. Mitt Romney 9 29 53 9 g. Fred Thompson 12 30 48 10 Trend National poll Washington Post-ABC News 9/30/07: a. Hillary Clinton Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 30 25 44 2 National 9/30/07 30 28 41 1 b. Barack Obama Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 21 39 35 5 National 9/30/07 21 37 39 3 c. John Edwards Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 16 37 42 5 National 9/30/07 16 38 43 3 d. Rudy Giuliani Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 15 36 45 4 National 9/30/07 17 36 44 2 e. John McCain Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 14 40 42 5 National 9/30/07 13 39 45 3 f. Mitt Romney Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 9 29 53 9 National 9/30/07 8 28 57 7 g. Fred Thompson Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 10/8/07 12 30 48 10 National 9/30/07 10 29 54 7 48. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Democratic candidates do you think (ITEM)? a. (FULL SAMPLE) has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008 10/8/07 All 10/8/07 Democrats* Hillary Clinton 57 65 Barack Obama 18 15 John Edwards 9 8 Bill Richardson 1 1 Joe Biden 1 1 Chris Dodd * * Dennis Kucinich * 0 Mike Gravel * 0 Other (vol.) 1 * None of these (vol.) 2 * No opinion 11 9 *Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents b. (FULL SAMPLE) is closest to you on the issues 10/8/07 All 10/8/07 Democrats* Hillary Clinton 29 45 Barack Obama 24 27 John Edwards 13 11 Bill Richardson 4 2 Joe Biden 3 3 Chris Dodd * * Dennis Kucinich 1 2 Mike Gravel 1 * Other (vol.) 1 * None of these (vol.) 10 1 No opinion 12 7 *Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents c. (LEANED DEMOCRATS ONLY) best reflects the core values of the Democratic Party 10/8/07 Hillary Clinton 45 Barack Obama 23 John Edwards 13 Bill Richardson 1 Joe Biden 2 Dennis Kucinich 2 Chris Dodd * Mike Gravel 0 Other (vol.) 1 None of these (vol.) 2 No opinion 11 d. (LEANED DEMOCRATS ONLY) is the strongest leader 10/8/07 Hillary Clinton 59 Barack Obama 19 John Edwards 7 Joe Biden 2 Bill Richardson 1 Chris Dodd 1 Dennis Kucinich 1 Mike Gravel * Other (vol.) 1 None of these (vol.) 1 No opinion 9 49. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)? a. (FULL SAMPLE) has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008 10/8/07 All 10/8/07 Republicans* Rudy Giuliani 39 47 John McCain 18 16 Fred Thompson 12 15 Mitt Romney 6 5 Mike Huckabee 1 * Ron Paul 1 1 Sam Brownback * * Duncan Hunter * * Tom Tancredo * 0 Other (vol.) 2 2 None of these (vol.) 5 3 No opinion 15 11 *Republicans and Republican-leaning independents b. (FULL SAMPLE) is closest to you on the issues 10/8/07 All 10/8/07 Republicans* Rudy Giuliani 21 27 John McCain 21 22 Fred Thompson 11 16 Mitt Romney 7 8 Ron Paul 4 3 Mike Huckabee 2 3 Sam Brownback 1 1 Duncan Hunter 1 1 Tom Tancredo 1 0 Other (vol.) 2 1 None of these (vol.) 10 3 No opinion 19 15 *Republicans and Republican-leaning independents c. (LEANED REPUBLICANS ONLY) best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 10/8/07 Rudy Giuliani 22 John McCain 22 Fred Thompson 20 Mitt Romney 8 Mike Huckabee 3 Ron Paul 2 Sam Brownback 1 Duncan Hunter 1 Tom Tancredo * Other (vol.) 2 None of these (vol.) 3 No opinion 17 d. (LEANED REPUBLICANS ONLY) is the strongest leader 10/8/07 Rudy Giuliani 42 John McCain 25 Fred Thompson 11 Mitt Romney 5 Mike Huckabee 1 Ron Paul 1 Sam Brownback * Duncan Hunter * Tom Tancredo 0 Other (vol.) 1 None of these (vol.) 1 No opinion 12 50. Putting aside for a moment the question of who the nominees might be - would you prefer the next president to be (a Democrat), (a Republican), or something else? IF DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you prefer a [Democrat/Republican] strongly, or somewhat? ---- Democrat ---- --- Republican --- Independent Something No NET Stngly Smwht NET Strngly Smwht (vol.) else op. 10/8/07 45 37 9 34 24 10 2 11 8 51. (IF NOT DEM OR REP, Q50) Which way are you leaning, (a Democrat) or (a Republican)? Democrat Republican No opinion 10/8/07 36 36 29 50/51 NET: Democrat Republican Independent (vol.) Something else No op. 10/8/07 52 41 * 2 4