Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Bush, Iraq and the War on Terror
Monday, June 21, 2004 | | | | This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone June 17-20, 2004 among 1,201 randomly selected adults nationwide. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus three percentage points. Fieldwork by TNS of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin.
6/20/04 47 30 17 51 13 39 1
5/23/04 47 31 17 50 14 36 3
4/18/04 51 33 18 47 13 34 1
3/7/04 50 32 18 48 12 36 2
2/11/04 50 30 21 47 14 34 2
1/18/04 58 35 24 40 9 30 2
12/21/03 59 39 21 38 15 23 3
12/14/03 57 37 20 39 10 29 5
12/7/03 53 32 21 40 13 27 7
11/16/03 57 34 23 39 11 28 4
10/29/03 56 30 26 42 13 29 2
10/13/03 53 33 20 43 13 29 4
9/30/03 54 34 20 44 15 29 2
9/13/03 58 35 23 40 14 27 2
9/7/03 56 34 22 41 13 28 4
8/11/03 59 37 22 37 14 23 4
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 13 25 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 11 18 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 17 9 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 9 14 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 6 14 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 7 19 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 13 22 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 14 20 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 13 22 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 13 23 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 15 22 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 16 22 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 12 20 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 12 20 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 12 20 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 9 23 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 13 16 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 14 16 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 12 18 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 12 15 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 12 13 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 9 13 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 9 11 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 8 13 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 9 10 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 8 10 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 9 7 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 4 5 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 5 4 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 5 6 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 20 22 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 14 17 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 17 22 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 18 22 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)? 6/20/04 - Summary Table* Approve Disapprove No op.
a. The economy 46 53 1
b. The situation in Iraq 44 55 2
c. Education 51 45 5
d. The federal budget deficit 39 56 5
e. Prescription drug benefits for the
elderly 40 50 11
f. The US campaign against terrorism 50 48 2
g. Health care 39 57 4
h. Taxes 42 54 4
i. International affairs 43 55 2
* Half sample asked items a-e, other half asked items f-i. a. The economy Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 46 53 1
5/23/04 44 54 2
4/18/04 44 54 2
3/7/04 39 59 1
2/11/04 44 54 2
1/18/04 51 47 2
12/21/03 51 44 5
11/16/03 48 49 3
10/29/03 45 53 2
10/13/03 45 52 2
9/13/03 42 56 3
9/7/03 44 51 5
8/11/03 45 51 5
7/10/03 47 49 4
4/30/03 52 45 3
2/9/03 47 49 4
2/1/03 44 52 4
1/28/03 46 49 4
1/27/03 47 47 5
1/20/03 43 53 4
1/5/03 50 43 7
12/15/02 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 53 45 2
11/3/02 LV 52 46 2
11/2/02 LV 55 43 2
10/27/02 51 43 6
10/27/02 LV 53 44 3
9/26/02 51 47 3
9/8/02 57 40 4
7/28/02 57 39 4
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8 b. The situation in Iraq Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 44 55 2
5/23/04 40 58 2
4/18/04 45 54 1
3/7/04 46 53 1
2/11/04 47 52 1
1/18/04 55 42 2
12/21/03 60 39 2
12/14/03 58 38 4
11/16/03 48 48 4
10/29/03 47 51 2
10/13/03 51 47 2
9/29/03 50 47 3
9/13/03 52 46 2
9/7/03 49 47 4
8/24/03 56 37 7
8/11/03 56 41 3
7/10/03 58 41 2
6/22/03 67 30 2
4/30/03 75 22 2 Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein 3/27/03 69 26 5
3/23/03 71 26 3
3/20/03 65 29 5
3/17/03 64 29 7
3/9/03 55 38 8
2/23/03 55 39 6
2/9/03 61 37 2
2/5/03 61 32 7
2/1/03 61 35 3
1/28/03 58 38 4
1/27/03 57 40 3
1/20/03 50 46 4
12/15/02 58 37 5
11/4/02 LV 56 40 4
11/3/02 LV 57 40 4
11/2/02 LV 56 41 3
10/27/02 57 38 5
9/26/02 58 39 3
9/14/02 65 31 4
8/29/02 52 36 12 c. Education Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 51 45 5
4/18/04 51 43 6
3/7/04 50 45 5
2/11/04 47 45 8
1/18/04 55 37 9
12/21/03 47 37 15
10/29/03 55 38 7
9/13/03 56 39 6
4/30/03 59 34 7
12/15/02 62 30 8
9/26/02 61 32 7
7/15/02 62 31 6
1/27/02 71 21 8
9/9/01 61 32 7
7/30/01 63 31 5
6/3/01 57 35 8
4/22/01 60 28 12 d. The federal budget deficit Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 39 56 5
4/18/04 34 60 6
3/7/04 30 65 5
1/18/04 35 58 7
12/21/03 37 52 10
10/29/03 32 61 7 Compare to: The federal budget 9/13/03 38 57 4
8/11/03 41 50 9
4/30/03 43 50 6
2/9/03 45 45 10
2/1/03 47 46 8
1/20/03 43 47 10
7/15/02 50 42 8
1/27/02 59 30 12
9/9/01 46 48 6
7/30/01 53 42 5 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 40 50 11
4/18/04 38 46 15
3/7/04 41 49 9
1/18/04 39 49 12
12/21/03 36 46 18
10/29/03 36 46 18
10/13/03 34 43 22
9/13/03 35 54 11
4/30/03 44 40 17
2/1/03 46 35 19 f. The US campaign against terrorism Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 50 48 2
5/23/04 58 39 4
4/18/04 63 35 2
3/7/04 63 34 3
2/11/04 64 34 2
1/18/04 66 33 2
12/21/03 70 28 2
10/29/03 63 35 2
10/13/03 66 30 4
9/13/03 70 27 3
9/7/03 67 28 5
4/30/03 79 19 2
2/9/03 74 23 4
2/1/03 75 21 3
1/27/03 72 26 2
1/20/03 71 25 4
12/15/02 79 20 1
11/4/02 LV 76 22 1
11/3/02 LV 77 22 3
11/2/02 LV 78 21 2
10/27/02 All 74 23 4
10/27/02 LV 78 20 2
9/26/02 70 28 2
9/8/02 74 24 2
7/28/02 81 17 2
7/15/02 83 15 2
5/19/02* 79 19 3
4/21/02* 81 18 2
3/10/02* 88 10 2
1/27/02 88 10 2
12/19/01* 89 9 2
10/15/01* 92 5 3
*Asked very/somewhat follow-up g. Health care Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 39 57 4 Compare to: The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance 4/18/04 33 61 5
3/7/04 32 62 6
2/11/04 32 62 6
1/18/04 37 55 8
12/21/03 34 56 10
10/29/03 28 63 9
10/13/03 30 60 10
9/13/03 32 61 7
4/30/03 34 57 9
1/28/03 40 47 13
1/20/03 36 51 13
12/15/02 33 58 9 h. Taxes Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 42 54 4
4/18/04 48 49 3
3/7/04 50 47 3
1/18/04 45 51 4
10/29/03 41 53 6
9/13/03 48 48 4
8/11/03 49 46 5
4/30/03 50 46 4
2/1/03 51 43 7
1/20/03 50 45 5
12/15/02 51 44 5 i. International affairs Approve Disapprove No opinion
6/20/04 43 55 2
10/29/03 50 43 7
9/13/03 53 43 4
7/15/02 67 28 5
4/21/02 71 25 4
6/3/01 58 33 9
4/22/01 62 31 7
3/25/01 56 31 13 3. How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
6/20/04 33 45 15 7 *
5/23/04 33 41 17 9 *
4/18/04 30 45 16 9 0
3/7/04 33 42 18 7 *
2/11/04 30 45 15 10 *
1/18/04 22 44 22 13 *
10/29/03 15 39 30 15 0
9/13/03 16 40 27 17 * Compare to: How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
Likely Voters:
11/6/00 54 38 6 2 *
11/5/00 53 38 6 2 *
11/4/00 52 39 7 2 *
11/3/00 51 40 6 3 *
11/2/00 48 42 7 3 *
11/1/00 48 43 7 2 *
10/31/00 46 44 7 2 *
10/30/00 47 44 7 2 *
10/29/00 47 43 7 3 *
10/28/00 47 42 7 3 *
10/27/00 48 41 7 4 *
10/26/00 47 42 8 3 *
10/25/00 47 42 8 3 0
10/24/00 44 43 10 3 0
10/23/00 44 45 8 3 0
10/22/00 44 44 9 3 0
10/21/00 46 41 9 4 *
10/20/00 46 40 11 4 *
10/19/00 44 41 10 4 *
10/18/00 42 45 10 3 *
10/17/00 40 46 10 3 *
Registered Voters:
10/15/00 33 44 15 8 *
10/9/00 30 45 16 9 *
10/1/00 27 48 17 8 *
9/6/00 26 48 17 9 *
8/20/00 28 46 16 10 1
8/10/00 29 43 18 11 *
General Population:
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 * 4/4a. If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush, the Republican), (John Kerry, the Democrat), or Ralph Nader, the independent? Which one are you leaning toward? Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters: Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
6/20/04 44 48 6 * 1 * 1
5/23/04 46 46 4 * 1 1 1
4/18/04 48 43 6 * 2 1 *
3/7/04 44 48 3 * 1 2 2 Net Leaned Vote, General Population: Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
6/20/04 42 48 7 * 1 1 1
5/23/04 45 44 6 * 1 2 1
4/18/04 47 42 7 * 2 1 *
3/7/04 42 47 5 * 1 3 2 7. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely? Definitely ---Chance change mind---- No
vote NET Good Unlikely opin.
6/20/04 All 71 28 13 15 1
Bush 78 21 9 13 *
Kerry 72 27 13 14 1 Compare to: Gore:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Likely Voters:
11/6/00 92 3 4 1
11/5/00 91 4 5 *
11/4/00 90 4 6 *
11/3/00 88 5 6 1
11/2/00 84 7 9 1
11/1/00 83 7 9 1
10/31/00 83 6 11 1
10/30/00 88 4 8 0
10/29/00 88 5 7 *
10/28/00 88 5 6 1
10/27/00 85 6 8 1
10/26/00 85 6 8 1
10/25/00 84 7 8 1
10/24/00 83 7 8 1
10/23/00 83 7 9 1
10/22/00 80 7 11 1
10/21/00 80 8 10 1
10/20/00 78 10 11 2
10/19/00 80 8 9 2
10/18/00 80 8 9 3
10/17/00 80 8 9 3
Registered Voters:
10/15/00 75 10 13 3
10/9/00 71 10 15 4
10/1/00 68 15 15 2
9/6/00 69 11 18 2
8/20/00 71 9 18 2
8/6/00 65 14 18 3
General Population:
8/6/00 62 16 20 2
7/23/00 58 15 26 2 Bush:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Likely Voters:
11/6/00 92 3 4 1
11/5/00 91 3 4 2
11/4/00 89 4 5 2
11/3/00 88 5 6 2
11/2/00 88 5 6 1
11/1/00 90 5 5 1
10/31/00 89 5 4 1
10/30/00 87 5 7 1
10/29/00 87 5 6 1
10/28/00 86 6 7 1
10/27/00 88 6 6 1
10/26/00 86 5 8 1
10/25/00 86 4 9 *
10/24/00 85 5 10 1
10/23/00 85 6 8 1
10/22/00 86 5 8 1
10/21/00 87 5 7 1
10/20/00 86 4 9 1
10/19/00 85 6 9 1
10/18/00 84 6 9 1
10/17/00 83 8 8 0
Registered Voters:
10/15/00 76 12 12 1
10/9/00 72 11 14 3
10/1/00 71 14 13 2
9/6/00 70 13 16 1
8/20/00 68 12 20 1
8/6/00 68 14 16 1
General Population
8/6/00 65 15 18 2
7/23/00 63 14 22 2 5/5a. (ASKED OF NADER VOTERS AND DON'T KNOWS) If Nader does not run or is not on the ballot for whom would you vote - (Bush) or (Kerry)? Which one are you leaning toward? Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters: Write in Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
6/20/04 45 53 0 * 1 1 *
5/23/04 47 49 * * 1 1 1
4/18/04 49 48 * * 2 1 * Net Leaned Vote, General Population: Write in Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
6/20/04 44 53 0 * 1 1 *
5/23/04 46 48 * * 2 3 1
4/18/04 49 47 * * 2 1 * 6a. (ASKED OF LEANED BUSH SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Bush or more against Kerry? For Bush Against Kerry No opinion
6/20/04 83 16 1
5/23/04 77 21 1
3/7/04 86 13 2 6b. (ASKED OF LEANED KERRY SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Kerry or more against Bush? For Kerry Against Bush No opinion
6/20/04 44 55 1
5/23/04 38 61 1
3/7/04 38 61 1 8. Who do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM), (Bush) or (Kerry)? 6/20/04 - Summary Table* Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. The economy 45 50 1 3 1
b. The situation in Iraq 50 45 * 4 1
c. Education 42 52 1 2 2
d. The federal budget deficit 44 48 1 5 3
e. Prescription drug benefits
for the elderly 38 50 1 7 4
f. The US campaign against
terrorism 47 48 1 3 1
g. Health care 37 58 * 4 2
h. Taxes 40 53 0 4 2
i. International affairs 43 51 * 3 2
* Half sample asked items a-e, other half asked items f-i. Trend where available: a. The economy Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 45 50 1 3 1
5/23/04 43 48 * 5 3
4/18/04 47 47 1 4 1
3/7/04 41 53 * 4 2
2/11/04 41 49 1 4 5 b. The situation in Iraq Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 50 45 * 4 1
5/23/04 48 42 * 6 3
4/18/04 52 41 * 4 2
3/7/04 47 48 1 3 2
2/11/04 48 41 1 6 5 c. Education Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 42 52 1 2 2
4/18/04 47 44 1 6 2
3/7/04 40 52 1 3 4
2/11/04 40 49 1 6 5 d. The federal budget deficit Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 44 48 1 5 3
4/18/04 45 46 1 6 2
3/7/04 38 53 2 5 3 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 38 50 1 7 4
4/18/04 42 45 2 7 4
3/7/04 41 50 1 4 5 f. The U.S. campaign against terrorism Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 47 48 1 3 1
5/23/04 52 39 1 4 4
4/18/04 58 37 1 3 1
3/7/04 57 36 2 2 3
2/11/04 53 37 1 4 5 g. Health care Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 37 58 * 4 2 Compare to: The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance 4/18/04 42 48 1 6 3
3/7/04 36 56 0 5 2
2/11/04 34 52 1 7 6 h. Taxes Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 40 53 0 4 2
4/18/04 49 43 * 6 2
3/7/04 43 51 1 4 2 i. No trend. 9. Of the following list, which one of these will be the single most important issue in your vote for president this year: (The U.S. campaign against terrorism), (the war in Iraq), (the economy and jobs), (education), (Health care), (Medicare and prescription drugs), (Social Security) or something else? Econ./ Educ- Health Medicare/ Soc. No
Terrorism Iraq jobs ation care drugs Sec. Other op.
6/20/04 18 19 26 9 9 5 4 8 1
5/23/04 14 18 32 8 8 7 5 6 1
4/18/04 22 23 26 8 5 4 4 6 1
3/7/04 17 10 36 8 6 7 7 8 1
12/21/03* 14 9 37 12 8 6 7 6 2
*"Which one of the these will be ..." 10. Please tell me whether the following statement applies more to (Bush) or more to (Kerry). 6/20/04 - Summary Table Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. He is honest and
trustworthy 39 52 1 6 1
b. He understands the
problems of people like
you 36 56 1 6 2
c. He is a strong leader 51 43 2 3 2
d. He takes a position
and sticks with it 57 36 1 5 1
e. He will make the
country safer and
more secure 54 40 1 3 2
f. He can be trusted in
a crisis 53 41 1 2 2
g. He shares your values 46 48 1 4 1
h. He stands up to special
interest groups 43 45 1 6 5 11. Do you think (Bush/Kerry) does or does not have a clear plan for (ITEM)? 6/20/04 - Summary Table -------Bush------ ------Kerry------
Does Does No Does Does No
not op. not op.
a. handling the situation in Iraq 48 50 1 42 52 6
b. handling the economy 47 51 2 55 40 5
c. handling terrorism 55 43 1 42 53 5
d. handling health care 42 54 4 60 34 7 12. Do you think Bush's views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opin.
6/20/04 14 38 46 2
3/7/04 14 33 49 4
12/21/03 14 29 52 5
6/3/01 15 32 50 4
4/22/01 10 31 55 3
9/6/00 RV 12 31 51 6
7/23/00 RV 12 29 52 7
7/23/00 12 28 52 8
3/11/00 12 28 52 8
2/27/00 10 33 51 5
2/24/00 12 33 43 12
2/6/00 12 30 49 8
9/2/99 10 20 58 13
3/14/99 7 20 53 20 13. Do you think Kerry's views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opin.
6/20/04 34 10 51 5
3/7/04 33 6 52 8 14. Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about (Kerry/Bush) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? ----Enthusiastic--- -----Not Enthusiastic----- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opin.
Kerry
6/20/04 47 17 30 53 19 33 0
Bush
6/20/04 42 21 21 58 18 39 * Compare to: Gore
4/2/00 45 17 28 55 23 32 *
2/27/00 43 17 26 56 23 33 1
3/14/99 39 12 27 59 24 35 1 Bush 4/2/00 50 20 29 50 24 26 *
2/27/00 50 18 32 50 19 30 1
3/14/99 55 17 38 42 21 21 3 Compare to 7/17/95: Bill Clinton 46 15 31 54 16 38 *
Bob Dole 35 8 27 64 24 39 1
Newt Gingrich 20 7 13 77 18 59 3
Phil Gramm 17 2 15 73 21 52 10
Colin Powell 48 15 33 46 17 29 6
Pat Buchanan 15 2 13 80 20 59 5
Ross Perot 24 9 15 75 18 58 * 15. Generally speaking, would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)? Smaller govt. Larger govt. No
fewer services more services opinion
6/20/04 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 61 34 5
11/3/02 LV 60 34 5
11/2/02 LV 62 34 3
7/15/02 53 42 6 Compare to: Would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with many services)? Smaller govt. Larger govt. No
fewer services many services opinion
1/27/02 54 41 5
10/9/00 RV 58 32 10
10/1/00 RV 58 33 9
7/23/00 59 34 7
7/23/00 RV 61 32 7
4/2/00 56 38 7
8/16/98 59 35 6
8/5/96 63 32 5
1996 Rep Dels 98 1 1
Dem Dels 33 45 22
7/8/92 55 38 7
1992 Rep Dels 97 2 1
Dem Dels 34 45 20
1988 Rep Dels 90 4 6
Dem Dels 18 62 21
1984 Dem Dels 23 58 19 16. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? ----Worth fighting---- ----Not worth fighting--- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly op.
6/20/04 47 32 14 52 13 39 2
5/23/04 48 35 13 50 13 37 1
5/6/04 49 NA NA 47 NA NA 5
4/18/04 51 47 2
3/7/04 52 44 3
2/11/04 48 50 2
1/18/04 56 41 3
12/21/03 59 39 2
11/16/03 52 44 4
12/14/03 53 42 5
10/29/03 54 44 2
10/13/03 54 44 2
9/13/03 61 37 2
9/7/03 54 42 4
8/24/03 57 37 5
8/11/03 61 35 4
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 " " 27 " " 4 Gulf War: 2/2/92* 66 NA NA 32 NA NA 2
7/28/91 67 30 3
6/2/91 70 26 3
3/4/91 86 " " 13 " " 1
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war 17. Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq? Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion
6/20/04 29 71 1
4/18/04 33 65 2
1/18/04 34 62 4
12/21/03 37 60 4
11/16/03 33 64 3
10/29/03 35 62 3
10/13/03 37 60 3
9/13/03 43 55 2
9/7/03 38 57 5
8/11/03 42 53 5
7/10/03 44 52 3
6/22/03 51 44 5
4/9/03 66 28 6
4/3/03 62 32 5
3/27/03 58 34 9 18. Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not (ITEM)? 6/20/04 - Summary Table* ---------Contributed--------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not op.
a. contributed to the long-
term security of the
United States 51 28 23 46 2
b. caused long-term damage
to US relations with
countries that opposed
the war, such as France
and Germany 63 38 25 35 2
c. Contributed to long-term
peace and stability in
the Mideast 42 20 23 56 2
d. Helped to improve the
lives of the Iraqi people 65 28 37 33 1
e. Damaged the United States'
image in the rest of
the world 76 46 31 23 1
*Full sample asked item a, half sample asked items b,c,
other half sample asked items d,e. Trend a. Contributed to the long-term security of the United States ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
6/20/04 51 28 23 46 2
5/23/04 54 30 24 43 3
4/18/04 57 33 24 40 3
3/7/04 57 29 29 40 3
2/11/04 58 32 26 38 4
1/18/04 59 34 25 38 3
12/21/03 62 34 29 34 4
7/10/03* 62 33 29 35 3
*"did or did not" b. Cause long-term damage to US relations with countries that opposed the war, such as France and Germany ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
6/20/04 63 38 25 35 2
7/10/03* 51 24 27 45 5
*"did or did not" c. Contribute to long-term peace and stability in the Mideast? ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
6/20/04 42 20 23 56 2
7/10/03* 50 20 31 45 5
*"did or did not" d. Help to improve the lives of the Iraqi people ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
6/20/04 65 28 37 33 1
7/10/03* 72 41 31 25 3
*"did or did not" e. Damage the United States' image in the rest of the world ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
6/20/04 76 46 31 23 1
7/10/03* 63 30 34 34 3
*"did or did not" 19. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); or do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)? Keep forces Withdraw forces No opinion
6/20/04 57 42 1
5/23/04 58 40 2
4/18/04 66 33 1
11/16/03 62 34 4
10/29/03 58 38 3
9/13/03 65 32 3
8/24/03 69 27 4
7/10/03 72 26 2 20. (HALF SAMPLE) Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward establishing a democratic government in Iraq? Is making Is not making No
significant progress significant progress opinion
6/20/04 50 48 3
5/23/04 38 57 5 20a. Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq? Is making Is not making No
significant progress significant progress opinion
6/20/04 51 48 1 21. As you may know, the United States is scheduled to transfer power to an interim government in Iraq on June 30th. Do you support or oppose this transfer of power? Support Oppose No opinion
6/20/04 82 16 2 22. Who do you think will hold the real power in Iraq after June 30th, (the new Iraqi government), or (the United States)? New Iraqi Both Neither/ No
government United States (vol.) other (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 40 53 2 2 3 Compare to: Do you think the transfer on June 30th will be (a real change of power in Iraq), or do you think it'll be (a symbolic transfer with no real change of power)? Real change of power Symbolic transfer No opinion
4/18/04 34 58 8 23. Who do you think SHOULD hold the real power in Iraq after June 30th, (the new Iraqi government), or (the United States)? New Iraqi Both Neither/ No
government United States (vol.) other (vol.) opin.
6/20/04 77 21 1 1 1 24. For each item I name, please tell me who you think should have final say about it - (the new Iraqi government), or the (United States). 6/20/04 - Summary Table New Iraqi United Both Neither/ No
Government States (vol.) other (vol.) op.
a. The presence of U.S.
military forces in Iraq 48 49 1 * 1
b. Administration of U.S. funded
programs to help rebuild Iraq 31 64 3 1 2
c. Running Iraq's oil industry 78 20 1 * 1
d. The activities of U.S.
military forces in Iraq 35 61 2 1 1
e. Administration of aid from
other countries 63 31 1 3 3
f. Managing Iraq's economy 84 14 1 * 1
g. What happens to Saddam Hussein 54 38 4 2 2 24a. For the time being, do you think the United States should (keep custody of Saddam Hussein) or (turn Saddam Hussein over to the new Iraqi government)? Keep custody of Turn him over to Turn him over to No
Saddam Hussein Iraqi government someone else (vol.) op.
6/20/04 65 33 1 2 25a. Before the war, do you think Iraq did or did not provide direct support to the Al Qaeda terrorist group? IF YES: (Is that your suspicion only), or (do you think there's been solid evidence of that)? -----------Provided Support------------ Iraq did not No
NET Suspicion only Solid evidence provide support op.
6/20/04 62 38 23 33 6 Compare to: Do you think Iraq has or has not provided direct support to the Al Qaeda terrorist group? Provided Not provided No
support support opinion
1/28/03 68 17 15 25b. Do you think the Bush administration (intentionally misled the American public) about possible links between Iraq and the Al Qaeda (Al KY-da) terrorist group, or do you think the administration (told the American public what it believed to be true) about this? Intentionally misled Told the American public No
the American public what it believed to be true opinion
6/20/04 48 50 2 25. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
6/20/04 45 4 41 55 38 17 *
4/18/04 43 4 39 57 39 18 *
3/7/04 39 2 37 60 38 22 1
1/18/04 42 3 39 58 42 16 0
12/21/03 42 4 39 57 41 16 1
10/29/03 33 1 32 67 45 23 *
9/13/03 30 2 27 70 45 25 *
8/11/03 32 2 30 68 43 25 *
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 * 26. Would you say most Americans are better off financially than they were in 2001 when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better Not as The No
off well off same opinion
6/20/04 17 45 37 1
4/18/04 18 43 37 2
3/7/04 17 43 38 1
2/11/04 14 47 38 1
1/18/04 13 42 43 2
12/21/03 17 40 41 2
10/29/03 9 49 41 1
9/13/03 9 52 38 1
4/30/03 10 48 42 1 George H. W. Bush
8/9/92 6 61 31 1
10/21/91 7 48 41 4
3/4/91 7 35 56 2
1/16/89 33 26 38 3 27. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)? a. the way things are going in this country Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
6/20/04 62 36 2
1/14/03 69 29 2 b. the situation in Iraq Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
6/20/04 52 45 3
5/23/04 55 43 2
1/18/04* 58 39 2
*"Thinking about the coming year" c. the state of the national economy Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
6/20/04 64 34 2
1/14/03 63 35 2 d. The country's ability to defend itself against terrorist attacks Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
6/20/04 66 31 3
1/14/03 75 23 3 28. On another subject, thinking back to when Bill Clinton was in office, would you say you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton handled his job as president? --------Approve---------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly op.
6/20/04 62 NA NA 37 NA NA 1
6/1/03 55 NA NA 43 NA NA 2
2/25/01* 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
1/15/01** 65 36 29 32 10 22 3
8/20/00*** 60 33 27 35 12 23 5
5/14/00 57 NA NA 40 NA NA 3
2/27/00 62 32 31 35 12 23 3
2/6/00 61 32 29 36 11 25 3
1/26/00 58 NA NA 38 NA NA 3
10/31/99 59 NA NA 38 NA NA 3
9/2/99 58 28 30 38 13 25 4
6/6/99 58 30 28 38 12 26 4
4/26/99 60 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
3/14/99 64 38 26 34 9 25 3
2/14/99 68 46 22 30 7 23 2
2/12/99 67 NA NA 31 NA NA 2
2/7/99 66 45 21 33 9 24 1
1/30/99 65 43 22 33 7 26 2
1/19/99 66 NA NA 32 NA NA 2
1/13/99 63 NA NA 34 NA NA 3
1/10/99 62 NA NA 36 NA NA 1
12/20/98 67 48 20 30 6 23 3
12/19/98 66 47 19 31 7 24 3
12/13/98 64 43 21 35 10 25 2
12/11/98 60 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
11/22/98 61 NA NA 34 NA NA 5
11/7/98 63 NA NA 36 NA NA 1
11/1/98 65 41 25 33 10 23 1
11/1/98 LV 58 40 18 41 10 31 1
10/25/98 62 40 22 32 8 23 6
10/25/98 LV 58 42 15 40 8 32 2
10/18/98 62 40 22 34 9 25 4
10/18/98 LV 57 39 18 41 7 34 2
9/28/98 63 42 21 35 8 26 2
9/28/98 LV 57 43 14 43 6 37 1
9/21/98 60 NA NA 39 NA NA 1
9/14/98 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
9/13/98 eve 60 NA NA 38 NA NA 2
9/13/98 day 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
9/12/98 59 NA NA 39 NA NA 3
9/11/98 56 NA NA 42 NA NA 3
9/9/98 57 NA NA 40 NA NA 3
8/23/98 64 NA NA 33 NA NA 3
8/21/98 66 41 25 31 10 21 3
8/20/98 65 NA NA 32 NA NA 3
8/19/98 60 NA NA 38 NA NA 2
8/17/98 61 NA NA 36 NA NA 3
8/16/98 62 NA NA 33 NA NA 4
7/29/98 63 NA NA 33 NA NA 4
7/12/98 63 34 29 31 11 20 6
6/18/98 59 NA NA 34 NA NA 7
6/2/98 61 NA NA 34 NA NA 5
5/12/98 64 NA NA 32 NA NA 4
4/4/98 65 NA NA 31 NA NA 4
4/1/98 66 NA NA 29 NA NA 4
3/17/98 66 NA NA 30 NA NA 4
3/16/98 63 NA NA 34 NA NA 3
2/18/98 67 NA NA 30 NA NA 3
1/31/98 67 42 24 29 10 19 4
1/30/98 69 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
1/29/98 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 5
1/26/98 60 NA NA 35 NA NA 4
1/25/98 59 31 28 37 13 25 4
1/24/98 57 30 26 40 13 27 3
1/19/98 60 24 36 35 15 19 5
1/13/98 62 NA NA 31 NA NA 7
11/12/97 59 NA NA 35 NA NA 6
10/13/97 59 NA NA 36 NA NA 6
8/27/97 58 NA NA 37 NA NA 5
7/8/97 64 NA NA 31 NA NA 5
6/8/97 59 NA NA 36 NA NA 5
4/24/97 56 NA NA 39 NA NA 5
3/25/97 56 NA NA 33 NA NA 11
3/9/97 55 NA NA 41 NA NA 4
10/8/96 LV 58 NA NA 38 NA NA 4
10/8/96 RV 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
9/4/96 RV 57 NA NA 38 NA NA 4
8/5/96 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
6/30/96 56 NA NA 39 NA NA 5
5/22/96 58 20 37 39 17 22 3
3/31/96 52 21 30 40 16 25 8
3/7/96 53 19 34 45 19 26 2
3/10/96 55 23 32 40 17 24 4
4/21/96 51 NA NA 43 NA NA 6
1/7/96 53 22 31 43 16 28 4
11/19/95 54 NA NA 41 NA NA 5
11/13/95 54 20 34 41 20 21 5
10/1/95 52 17 35 43 19 24 5
7/17/95 51 14 37 45 20 25 4
6/8/95 47 NA NA 45 NA NA 8
5/14/95 56 20 36 41 23 18 3
3/19/95 52 17 35 45 19 26 3
3/5/95 46 NA NA 49 NA NA 4
1/29/95 54 20 34 43 21 22 3
1/4/95 45 13 31 51 22 29 5
12/20/94 44 NA NA 50 NA NA 6
11/6/94 RV 52 20 32 43 16 26 5
10/31/94 48 17 31 49 19 30 3
10/23/94 49 18 31 48 19 29 4
10/9/94 45 13 32 51 21 30 4
9/25/94 44 13 31 51 20 31 5
9/11/94 46 15 30 51 19 33 3
8/16/94 44 NA NA 51 NA NA 5
8/7/94 47 17 31 47 20 27 5
6/26/94 50 16 34 44 17 28 6
5/15/94 51 19 32 44 17 28 4
3/27/94 57 23 34 41 16 25 3
3/22/94 47 NA NA 45 NA NA 7
3/08/94 52 NA NA 40 NA NA 8
2/27/94 58 20 38 38 15 23 4
1/23/94 56 22 34 34 14 20 10
1/9/94 59 20 39 36 15 21 4
12/19/93 58 22 36 40 20 20 3
11/14/93 49 16 33 45 20 25 6
10/31/93 52 17 35 41 17 24 7
10/10/93 51 20 31 43 18 25 5
10/3/93 52 19 33 36 14 22 12
9/19/93 51 NA NA 41 NA NA 8
8/8/93 45 16 29 51 19 32 4
6/28/93 43 13 29 50 19 31 7
6/15/93 45 NA NA 48 NA NA 7
5/23/93 46 17 30 48 18 30 6
4/26/93 59 22 37 39 17 21 2
2/28/93 60 28 32 33 11 22 7
2/23/93 63 28 35 30 11 19 7
2/14/93 54 23 31 31 15 16 15
*2/25/01 "handled"
**1/15/01 "has handled"
***8/20/00 and previous: "is handling" 29. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton as a person? Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
6/20/04 50 49 2
1/15/01 44 51 5
10/22/00 LV 33 60 7
10/21/00 LV 33 62 6
10/20/00 LV 32 63 5
10/1/00 RV 37 58 5
9/6/00 RV 35 62 3
8/20/00 RV 35 61 3
8/10/00 RV 34 62 4
1/26/00 34 61 5
12/15/99 RV 32 65 3
12/15/99 36 62 2
9/2/99 38 59 3
3/14/99 30 67 4
3/4/99 40 54 6
12/15/98 41 56 3
11/1/98 LV 37 60 3
11/1/98 42 54 4
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