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| Washington Post-ABC News Poll: War in Iraq Friday, July 11, 2003 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,006 randomly selected adults nationwide, and was conducted July 9-10, 2003. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 25 13 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 18 11 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 9 17 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 14 9 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 14 6 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 19 7 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 22 13 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (READ ITEM)? 7/10/03 - Summary Table Approve Disapprove No opinion a. The situation in Iraq 58 41 2 b. The economy 47 49 4 a. The situation in Iraq Approve Disapprove No opinion 7/10/03 58 41 2 6/22/03 67 30 2 4/30/03 75 22 2 Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein 3/27/03 69 26 5 3/23/03 71 26 3 3/20/03 65 29 5 3/17/03 64 29 7 3/9/03 55 38 8 2/23/03 55 39 6 2/9/03 61 37 2 2/5/03 61 32 7 2/1/03 61 35 3 1/28/03 58 38 4 1/27/03 57 40 3 1/20/03 50 46 4 12/15/02 58 37 5 11/4/02 LV 56 40 4 11/3/02 LV 57 40 4 11/2/02 LV 56 41 3 10/27/02 57 38 5 9/26/02 58 39 3 9/14/02 65 31 4 8/29/02 52 36 12 b. The economy Approve Disapprove No opinion 7/10/03 47 49 4 4/30/03 52 45 3 2/9/03 47 49 4 2/1/03 44 52 4 1/28/03 46 49 4 1/27/03 47 47 5 1/20/03 43 53 4 1/5/03 50 43 7 12/15/02 50 46 4 11/4/02 LV 53 45 2 11/3/02 LV 52 46 2 11/2/02 LV 55 43 2 10/27/02 51 43 6 10/27/02 LV 53 44 3 9/26/02 51 47 3 9/8/02 57 40 4 7/28/02 57 39 4 7/15/02 58 38 3 4/21/02 64 33 3 1/27/02 62 34 4 12/19/01 67 27 6 11/6/01 72 23 5 9/9/01 48 48 4 7/30/01 52 45 3 6/3/01 53 41 6 4/22/01 55 38 7 3/25/01 50 42 8 3. Do you support or oppose the current U.S. military presence in Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or somewhat? ---------Support--------- ----------Oppose--------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/10/03 74 48 26 25 15 10 1 4. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Worth Not worth No
fighting fighting opinion
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 27 4 Gulf War: 2/2/92* 66 32 2 7/28/91 67 30 3 6/2/91 70 26 3 3/4/91 86 13 1 *2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war" 5. Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq? Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion 7/10/03 44 52 3 6/22/03 51 44 5 4/9/03 66 28 6 4/3/03 62 32 5 3/27/03 58 34 9 6. Do you think there will or will not be a significant number of additional U.S. military casualties in Iraq? Yes, No, No
will will not opinion
7/10/03 74 22 4
4/3/03* 69 25 6
3/27/03** 82 13 5
3/23/03 54 40 6
3/20/03 37 55 8
3/9/03*** 62 31 7
2/1/03 65 31 4 *4/3/03 and previous: "in the war with Iraq" 7. So far, have there been more US military casualties than you expected, fewer than you expected, or is it about what you expected? More Fewer Expected No opinion 7/10/03 26 36 37 2 3/23/03 23 26 46 5 8. How do you feel about the possibility that the United States will get bogged down in a long and costly peacekeeping mission in Iraq - would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all? ----Concerned----- -----Not concerned---- Already No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all has (vol.) op.
7/10/03 80 43 37 19 11 8 1 1
6/22/03 72 32 41 26 16 10 * 1
4/30/03 72 34 39 27 19 9 NA *
4/16/03 73 31 42 26 19 7 NA 1
4/9/03 62 24 39 35 24 11 NA 3 9. Do you think (the United States has to kill or capture Saddam Hussein for the war in Iraq to be a success), or do you think (the war in Iraq can be a success with Saddam Hussein removed from power, but not killed or captured)? US must capture/ War can succeed No
kill Hussein without Hussein opinion
7/10/03 61 35 4
4/9/03* 50 43 7
3/20/03 49 43 7 *4/9/03 and previous: "if Saddam Hussein is removed from power" Compare to: Do you think (the United States has to capture or kill Osama bin Laden for the war on terrorism to be a success), or do you think (the war on terrorism can be a success without Osama bin Laden being killed or captured)? US must capture/ War can succeed No
kill bin Laden without bin Laden opin.
9/8/02 44 54 2
4/21/02 50 45 5
3/10/02 44 53 4
1/27/02 46 51 3
12/19/01 64 34 2
11/6/01 64 30 6 10. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); or do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)? Keep forces Withdraw forces No opinion 7/10/03 72 26 2 11. Just your best guess, about how much longer do you think the United States will need to keep U.S. military forces in Iraq? Few Few About Few 5 to 10 10 years Long as Pull No
weeks months a year years years or longer needed out now Other op.
7/10/03 2 17 25 32 6 3 4 3 * 8 12. In your opinion is that too long, too short, or about right? Too long Too short About right No opinion 7/10/03 39 3 56 3 13. Before the war began, do you think the Bush administration did or did not intentionally exaggerate its evidence that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, such as biological or chemical weapons? Did Did not No opinion 7/10/03 50 46 4 14. Do you think the war with Iraq did or did not (READ ITEM)? 7/10/03 - Summary Table ---------Did----------- Did No
NET great deal some not opin.
a. Contribute to the long-term security of the
United States? 62 33 29 35 3
b. Cause long-term damage to US relations with
countries that opposed the war, such as
France and Germany? 51 24 27 45 5
c. Contribute to long-term peace and stability
in the Mideast? 50 20 31 45 5
d. Help to improve the lives of the Iraqi people? 72 41 31 25 3
e. Damage the United States' image in the rest
of the world? 63 30 34 34 3 *Half sample asked a,b,c. Other half asked d,e. 15. On another subject, would you support or oppose sending up to 2,000 U.S. troops to the African nation of Liberia as part of an international force to help enforce a cease-fire in the civil war there? Support Oppose No Opinion 7/10/03 41 51 8 16/17. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, John Edwards, Al Sharpton, Bob Graham, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich and Carol Moseley Braun), for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: 7/10/03 4/30/03 1/20/03 7/15/02** Lieberman 13 29 27 10 Gephardt 10 19 14 5 Kerry 12 14 10 6 Edwards 6 4 11 3 Graham 3 3 NA NA Dean 8 3 3 1 Sharpton 6 3 7 NA Moseley Braun 4 6 NA NA Kucinich 2 2 NA NA Other 2 1 1 3 None 13 1 4 * Wouldn't vote 7 0 0 0 No opinion 16 14 24 18 **Gore 46, Daschle 8 6/1/03 H. Clinton 37 Lieberman 14 Gephardt 10 Kerry 7 Edwards 6 Graham 4 Dean 3 Sharpton 2 Moseley Braun 1 Kucinich 1 Other * None 3 Wouldn't vote 2 No opinion 11 © Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company
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