Horse Andrew Beyer's Analysis Odds

1. Black Onyx

Trainer: Kelly Breen
Jockey: Joe Bravo
Scratched on Friday afternoon.

2. Oxbow

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Gary Stevens
Plenty of experience on the team. 50-year-old Gary Stevens, three-time Derby winner, rides for 77-year-old Wayne Lukas, four-time Derby winner.


BSF: 95

3. Revolutionary

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Calvin Borel
Strong finisher's chances are boosted by jockey Calvin Borel, winner of three Derbies in six years. Pletcher and Borel teamed to score with Super Saver in 2010.


BSF: 102

4. Golden Soul

Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Jockey: Robby Albarado
Soundly beaten in three stakes races this year, he squeezed into the field after the defection of others.


BSF: 89

5. Normandy Invasion

Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Strong stretch-runner has been compromised by difficult trips in his two starts as a 3-year-old, but he is a bona-fide contender.


BSF: 99

6. Mylute

Trainer: Tom Amoss
Jockey: Rosie Napravnik
Rosie Napravnik seeks to become the first female jockey to win the Derby. Her mount finished second in the Louisiana Derby.


BSF: 93

7. Giant Finish

Trainer: Anthony Dutrow
Jockey: Jose Espinoza
Owners decided Tuesday that they want to run. "I am so surprised at all of this," said trainer Tony Dutrow.


BSF: 86

8. Goldencents

Trainer: Doug O'Neill
Jockey: Kevin Krigger
A lot of story lines surround this top contender. Rick Pitino is part-owner of the colt. Trainer Doug O'Neill tries to win Derbies back-to-back. Kevin Krigger could become the first black jockey to win the Derby since 1902.


BSF: 105

9. Overanalyze

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
A leading 2-year-old last season, he won the Arkansas Derby in his last start by nearly five lengths, but the race was too slow to make him look like a serious contender.


BSF: 99

10. Palace Malice

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Mike Smith
Winner of only a maiden race, he eked his way into the Derby field by finishing second in a slow Blue Grass Stakes


BSF: 93

11. Lines of Battle

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien
Jockey: Ryan Moore
Running in the United Emirates Derby is a tried-and-true path to Kentucky Derby oblivion.



12. Itsmyluckyday

Trainer: Eddie Plesa Jr.
Jockey: Elvis Trujillo
Talented colt disappointed in the Florida Derby, but trainer Eddie Plesa said he wasn't cranked up for his best effort. "He'll be 110% in this one," Plesa promises.


BSF: 104

13. Falling Sky

Trainer: John Terranova
Jockey: Luis Saez
Might be the pacesetter, but he regularly fades in the stretch and he will undoubtedly fade at 1¼ miles.


BSF: 92

14. Verrazano

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Undefeated in four starts, managed by the nation's top trainer, he may be the favorite. Yet his final prep race, in the Wood Memorial Stakes, was underwhelming.


BSF: 105

15. Charming Kitten

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Edgar Prado
Owner Ken Ramsey wants to be part of the Derby, and Pletcher assents, but "Kitten" has been strictly a turf and synthetic-track runner.


BSF: 88

16. Orb

Trainer: Shug McGaughey
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Shug McGaughey isn't infected with Derby fever; he's had one starter since Easy Goer finished second in 1989. The steadily improving Orb has brought him to Churchill with four straight wins.


BSF: 97

17. Will Take Charge

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Jon Court
Wayne Lukas bids to become the second-winningest trainer in Derby history. Colt is a longshot, but two of Lukas's four victories have come at odds of 33-1 and 24-1.


BSF: 95

18. Frac Daddy

Trainer: Ken McPeek
Jockey: Victor Lebron
Gray colt hasn't had a win since a maiden race in November, and he won't win here.


BSF: 91

19. Java's War

Trainer: Ken McPeek
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
Rallied from 14th place to win the Blue Grass Stakes. A fast early pace would help the stretch-runner's chances.


BSF: 96

20. Vyjack

Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez
Jockey: Garrett Gomez
Kentucky officials gave Rudy Rodriguez a license, but mandated 24-hour surveillance of the horse because of the trainer's history of medication violations.


BSF: 93

By Andrew Beyer - The Washington Post. Note: BSF represents best speed figure earned at a mile or more.